MLB Top Pitchers 5/25/24

Today’s MLB slate features several intriguing pitching options. Here’s a detailed breakdown of the top pitchers, backed by key statistics and matchup insights. Let’s dive into why these players are prime picks for your DFS lineup.

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Top 5 DFS Pitchers

1. Logan Gilbert (Seattle Mariners)

• Matchup: Mariners @ Nationals
• Price: $9200
• Stats:
  • K%: 27.2% vs. LHB, 22.1% vs. RHB
  • BB%: 5.2% vs. LHB, 5.6% vs. RHB
  • xwOBA: .280 vs. LHB, .314 vs. RHB
  • Recent Form: 16.65 DK points, 6.4 Ks per game

Key Insights:

• Gilbert’s ability to strike out left-handed batters at a high rate (27.2%) makes him a top choice against a Nationals lineup that struggles against right-handed pitchers.
• His recent performance, including a strong showing against the Royals (7 Ks, 3 ER in 6.2 IP), underscores his reliability.
• Nationals’ hitters have struggled with a collective .312 xwOBA against right-handers, aligning well with Gilbert’s skill set.

2. Nick Pivetta (Boston Red Sox)

• Matchup: Brewers @ Red Sox
• Price: $8800
• Stats:
  • K%: 32.1% vs. LHB, 30.3% vs. RHB
  • BB%: 6.6% vs. LHB, 8.3% vs. RHB
  • xwOBA: .319 vs. LHB, .277 vs. RHB
  • Recent Form: 17.97 DK points, 7.0 Ks per game

Key Insights:

• Pivetta’s high strikeout rate (32.1% vs. LHB) makes him an excellent choice against a Brewers lineup with several left-handed power hitters.
• His ability to limit hard contact, especially against right-handers (.277 xwOBA), enhances his appeal.
• Pivetta’s recent form is impressive, highlighted by a dominant outing against the Cardinals (8 Ks, 1 ER in 6 IP).

3. Chris Paddack (Minnesota Twins)

• Matchup: Rangers @ Twins
• Price: $7300
• Stats:
  • K%: 19.4% vs. LHB, 25.6% vs. RHB
  • BB%: 5.6% vs. LHB, 3.3% vs. RHB
  • xwOBA: .333 vs. LHB, .348 vs. RHB
  • Recent Form: 14.65 DK points, 5.5 Ks per game

Key Insights:

• Paddack’s ability to limit walks (3.3% vs. RHB) and his decent strikeout rate make him a solid pick against the Rangers, who have struggled against right-handed pitching.
• His recent performance includes a standout game against the Guardians, where he posted 6 Ks and allowed only 2 ER over 8 innings.
• The Twins’ favorable ballpark and weather conditions further boost his value.

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4. Reynaldo Lopez (Atlanta Braves)

• Matchup: Braves @ Pirates
• Price: $8500
• Stats:
  • K%: 25.1% vs. LHB, 30.0% vs. RHB
  • BB%: 16.6% vs. LHB, 5.9% vs. RHB
  • xwOBA: .287 vs. LHB, .263 vs. RHB
  • Recent Form: 16.77 DK points, 6.6 Ks per game

Key Insights:

• Lopez excels against right-handed batters with a 30.0% strikeout rate, making him a strong option against the Pirates, who feature several right-handed hitters.
• His ability to limit hard contact (.263 xwOBA vs. RHB) increases his upside.
• The Pirates’ lineup has struggled with strikeouts, aligning well with Lopez’s strengths.

5. Mitch Keller (Pittsburgh Pirates)

• Matchup: Braves @ Pirates
• Price: $8300
• Stats:
  • K%: 26.5% vs. LHB, 21.9% vs. RHB
  • BB%: 8.0% vs. LHB, 5.5% vs. RHB
  • xwOBA: .328 vs. LHB, .297 vs. RHB
  • Recent Form: 12.48 DK points, 5.7 Ks per game

Key Insights:

• Keller’s solid strikeout rate (26.5% vs. LHB) makes him an appealing option against a Braves lineup that has several left-handed power threats.
• His recent performances, including 7 Ks and 2 ER in 6 IP against the Cubs, highlight his potential.
• Keller’s ability to induce ground balls (48.9% vs. RHB) reduces the risk of home runs in this matchup.

Under-the-Radar Plays

Reese Olson (Detroit Tigers)

• Matchup: Blue Jays @ Tigers
• Price: $7100
• Stats:
  • K%: 25.2% vs. LHB, 21.6% vs. RHB
  • BB%: 11.4% vs. LHB, 4.4% vs. RHB
  • ISO: .114 vs. LHB, .136 vs. RHB
  • Recent Form: 11.9 DK points, 4.2 Ks per game

Key Insights:

• Olson’s impressive strikeout rate against lefties (25.2%) and his ability to limit power (.114 ISO) make him an intriguing value play against the Blue Jays.
• His recent form, including a strong outing against the Marlins (6 Ks, 0 ER in 8 IP), suggests he’s capable of a high-ceiling performance.
• The moderate pitching conditions at Comerica Park also play in his favor.

Jordan Hicks (San Francisco Giants)

• Matchup: Giants @ Mets
• Price: $7800
• Stats:
  • K%: 20.4% vs. LHB, 26.9% vs. RHB
  • BB%: 13.6% vs. LHB, 7.1% vs. RHB
  • ISO: .087 vs. LHB, .108 vs. RHB
  • Recent Form: 12.44 DK points, 4.6 Ks per game

Key Insights:

• Hicks’ ability to limit hard contact, especially against lefties (.087 ISO), makes him a solid under-the-radar option against the Mets.
• His high ground ball rate (58.9% vs. RHB) further limits the risk of big innings.
• The extreme pitching conditions at Citi Field boost his potential for a quality start.

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Conclusion

These pitchers offer a mix of strikeout potential, recent form, and favorable matchups. By carefully considering these insights, you can build a winning DFS lineup for today’s MLB slate.