Today’s MLB DFS slate features several intriguing pitching matchups that can make or break your lineup. In this article, we’ll delve into the top MLB DFS pitchers for today, providing key insights and detailed statistical analysis to explain why each player is a top play.
Additionally, we’ll highlight a few under-the-radar plays that could provide significant value.
1. Aaron Nola (Philadelphia Phillies) vs. Washington Nationals
Key Stats:
vs. LHB: .203 ISO, .304 xwOBA
vs. RHB: .153 ISO, .297 xwOBA
Strikeout Rate: 24.9%
Walk Rate: 5.9%
Insights:
Aaron Nola has been consistent and reliable, making him a top DFS option. His ability to limit hard contact against both lefties and righties is crucial against the Nationals’ lineup.
Nola’s high strikeout rate combined with his low walk rate makes him a strong play, as he has the potential to rack up strikeouts while minimizing baserunners.
2. Corbin Burnes (Milwaukee Brewers) vs. Seattle Mariners
Key Stats:
vs. LHB: .081 ISO, .259 xwOBA
vs. RHB: .159 ISO, .306 xwOBA
Strikeout Rate: 25.2%
Walk Rate: 8.2%
Insights:
Corbin Burnes’ dominance against left-handed hitters makes him a prime target against the Mariners. His ability to limit power and induce weak contact is a significant advantage.
Burnes’ strikeout ability gives him a high ceiling, and his overall effectiveness against both sides of the plate makes him a safe and high-upside DFS play.
3. George Kirby (Seattle Mariners) vs. Baltimore Orioles
Key Stats:
vs. LHB: .159 ISO, .292 xwOBA
vs. RHB: .143 ISO, .307 xwOBA
Strikeout Rate: 22.9%
Walk Rate: 2.5%
Insights:
George Kirby’s elite control and ability to limit walks make him an attractive DFS option. His low walk rate ensures he minimizes baserunners, increasing his chances for a deep outing.
Kirby’s effectiveness against both lefties and righties makes him a strong play against the Orioles, who have struggled against quality right-handed pitching.
4. Carlos Rodon (New York Yankees) vs. Chicago White Sox
Key Stats:
vs. LHB: .213 ISO, .333 xwOBA
vs. RHB: .223 ISO, .350 xwOBA
Strikeout Rate: 31.4%
Walk Rate: 9.3%
Insights:
Carlos Rodon’s high strikeout rate and ability to overpower hitters make him a top DFS play. Despite some struggles against righties, his overall dominance and strikeout potential are unmatched.
Rodon’s matchup against the White Sox, who have been inconsistent offensively, provides a great opportunity for him to rack up strikeouts and limit runs.
Matthew Liberatore’s effectiveness against left-handed hitters makes him a solid DFS option. His ability to limit power and induce weak contact against lefties is crucial against a lefty-heavy Red Sox lineup.
While he has struggled against righties, his overall potential and matchup make him a high-upside play.
1. Tanner Bibee (Cleveland Guardians) vs. Minnesota Twins
Key Stats:
vs. LHB: .120 ISO, .322 xwOBA
vs. RHB: .154 ISO, .294 xwOBA
Strikeout Rate: 24.4%
Walk Rate: 7.7%
Insights:
Tanner Bibee’s solid strikeout rate and ability to limit power make him an intriguing under-the-radar play. His effectiveness against both lefties and righties provides a balanced approach.
Bibee’s matchup against the Twins, who have a high strikeout rate, enhances his upside for today’s slate.
2. JP Sears (Kansas City Royals) vs. Oakland Athletics
Key Stats:
vs. LHB: .207 ISO, .306 xwOBA
vs. RHB: .214 ISO, .338 xwOBA
Strikeout Rate: 21.0%
Walk Rate: 7.0%
Insights:
JP Sears’ strikeout potential and ability to limit walks make him a valuable under-the-radar play. Despite some struggles against power hitters, his overall skill set makes him a viable option.
Sears’ matchup against the Athletics, who have a low-powered offense, provides a good opportunity for him to excel.
3. Chris Paddack (Minnesota Twins) vs. Cleveland Guardians
Key Stats:
vs. LHB: .115 ISO, .347 xwOBA
vs. RHB: .185 ISO, .308 xwOBA
Strikeout Rate: 22.4%
Walk Rate: 5.2%
Insights:
Chris Paddack’s strikeout rate and low walk rate make him a strong under-the-radar play. His ability to limit baserunners and induce strikeouts gives him a high ceiling.
Paddack’s matchup against the Guardians, who have a below-average offense, enhances his chances for a quality start.
Conclusion
Today’s MLB DFS slate offers a wealth of pitching options with high upside. The top DFS pitchers highlighted here are well-positioned to deliver strong performances based on their matchups and underlying statistics. Additionally, the under-the-radar plays provide great value and potential for those looking to differentiate their lineups. Keep these insights in mind as you build your DFS lineups for today’s games.