MLB Top Hitters 7/4/24

Hey everyone, happy Fourth of July! We’ve got a jam-packed MLB slate today, and it’s time to dig into the top hitters for your DFS lineups. We’ll break down the stats, matchups, and why these players are prime picks for today’s games. Plus, I’ll highlight a couple of under-the-radar plays that could give your lineup a unique edge.

Top 3 DFS Hitters

1. Aaron Judge (OF, New York Yankees)

• Matchup: vs. Cincinnati Reds, Frankie Montas (RHP)
• Key Stats:
  • xHR: 0.347
  • xwOBA: .463
  • ISO vs. RHP: .357

Why Judge is a Top Play: Aaron Judge is facing Frankie Montas, who has a high xERA of 4.53 and struggles against right-handed power hitters. Judge’s xwOBA of .463 and an impressive ISO of .357 against right-handed pitching make him a standout. Montas’s high walk rate (10%) and Judge’s plate discipline will likely result in quality at-bats. Yankee Stadium is also a hitter-friendly park, boosting Judge’s chances for a big day.

2. Yordan Alvarez (OF, Houston Astros)

• Matchup: vs. Toronto Blue Jays, Chris Bassitt (RHP)
• Key Stats:
  • xHR: 0.373
  • xwOBA: .450
  • ISO vs. RHP: .303

Why Alvarez is a Top Play: Yordan Alvarez is in a prime spot against Chris Bassitt, who has a solid xERA but can be vulnerable to left-handed power. Alvarez’s xwOBA of .450 and ISO of .303 against right-handers make him a lethal option. Bassitt’s moderate strikeout ability (22%) means Alvarez will likely make solid contact, and Rogers Centre’s dimensions favor hitters with Alvarez’s power.

3. Rafael Devers (3B, Boston Red Sox)

• Matchup: vs. Miami Marlins, Kyle Tyler (RHP)
• Key Stats:
  • xHR: 0.268
  • xwOBA: .408
  • ISO vs. RHP: .268

Why Devers is a Top Play: Rafael Devers faces Kyle Tyler, who has limited MLB experience and struggles with control. Devers’s xwOBA of .408 and high ISO of .268 against right-handed pitching highlight his potential to dominate this matchup. Devers also benefits from the hitter-friendly conditions at loanDepot park, making him a top target for DFS.

Under-the-Radar Plays

1. Christopher Morel (3B, Chicago Cubs)

• Matchup: vs. Philadelphia Phillies, Cristopher Sanchez (LHP)
• Key Stats:
  • xHR: 0.273
  • xwOBA: .383
  • ISO vs. LHP: .273

Why Morel is a Sneaky Play: Christopher Morel has been quietly effective against lefties with an ISO of .273. Sanchez’s xERA is solid, but Morel’s power and ability to make hard contact (.383 xwOBA) give him significant upside. Wrigley Field’s favorable conditions for hitters further boost Morel’s value.

2. Jazz Chisholm Jr. (OF, Miami Marlins)

• Matchup: vs. Boston Red Sox, Nick Pivetta (RHP)
• Key Stats:
  • xHR: 0.303
  • xwOBA: .331
  • ISO vs. RHP: .220

Why Chisholm Jr. is a Sneaky Play: Jazz Chisholm Jr. faces Nick Pivetta, who has a high strikeout rate but also allows significant hard contact. Chisholm’s xwOBA of .331 and ISO of .220 against righties make him a valuable under-the-radar play. His speed and power combination can also contribute to fantasy points in multiple ways.

There you have it—our top hitters for today’s MLB DFS slate and a couple of lesser-known picks that could set your lineup apart. Keep these insights in mind as you finalize your rosters, and enjoy the holiday games! Good luck!