MLB Top Hitters 6/10/24

Today’s MLB DFS slate features several standout hitters poised to deliver strong performances. Here’s a detailed look at the top 5 DFS hitters for today’s matchups, along with a few under-the-radar plays that could provide significant value.

Top 5 DFS Hitters

1. Aaron Judge (New York Yankees) vs. Seth Lugo

Key Insights:

• Matchup: Seth Lugo has struggled with walks and home runs, especially against right-handed power hitters.
• Statistics:
  • ISO: .357
  • xwOBA: .466
  • K%: 26.7%
  • BB%: 18.3%

Why Judge is a Top Play:

• Judge’s immense power and Lugo’s tendency to give up home runs create a perfect storm for a big performance.
• His high walk rate adds extra points for DFS formats that reward on-base percentage.

2. Juan Soto (New York Yankees) vs. Seth Lugo

Key Insights:

• Matchup: Lugo’s control issues can be exploited by Soto’s elite plate discipline.
• Statistics:
  • ISO: .281
  • xwOBA: .441
  • K%: 16.3%
  • BB%: 18.7%

Why Soto is a Top Play:

• Soto’s ability to get on base and his power make him a prime candidate against a pitcher like Lugo who struggles with command.
• His left-handed bat in Yankee Stadium enhances his home run potential.

3. Carlos Correa (Minnesota Twins) vs. Dakota Hudson

Key Insights:

• Matchup: Dakota Hudson’s high walk rate and susceptibility to left-handed hitters favor Correa.
• Statistics:
  • ISO: .169
  • xwOBA: .337
  • K%: 24.1%
  • BB%: 9.8%

Why Correa is a Top Play:

• Correa’s consistency and power against right-handed pitchers make him a solid play.
• Hudson’s control issues can lead to additional opportunities for Correa to drive in runs.

4. Yordan Alvarez (Houston Astros) vs. Kyle Harrison

Key Insights:

• Matchup: Harrison’s control problems and Alvarez’s power make for a great matchup.
• Statistics:
  • ISO: .203
  • xwOBA: .368
  • K%: 20.7%
  • BB%: 10.2%

Why Alvarez is a Top Play:

• Alvarez’s power from the left side against a left-handed pitcher who struggles with walks and home runs.
• His ability to handle left-handed pitching well makes him a reliable DFS option.

5. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (Toronto Blue Jays) vs. Colin Rea

Key Insights:

• Matchup: Colin Rea’s high ISO and struggles against right-handed hitters favor Guerrero Jr.
• Statistics:
  • ISO: .180
  • xwOBA: .383
  • K%: 16.0%
  • BB%: 9.4%

Why Guerrero Jr. is a Top Play:

• Guerrero Jr.’s power and contact skills against a pitcher like Rea who allows hard contact and home runs.
• His presence in the middle of the Blue Jays’ lineup enhances his RBI potential.

Under-the-Radar Plays

1. Max Kepler (Minnesota Twins) vs. Dakota Hudson

Key Insights:

• Matchup: Hudson’s struggles against left-handed hitters.
• Statistics:
  • ISO: .210
  • xwOBA: .354
  • K%: 21.0%
  • BB%: 9.1%

Why Kepler is a Good Play:

• Kepler’s power against right-handed pitching and Hudson’s tendency to allow walks and hard contact.
• Kepler’s spot in the lineup gives him ample opportunities for runs and RBIs.

2. Bo Bichette (Toronto Blue Jays) vs. Colin Rea

Key Insights:

• Matchup: Rea’s control issues and Bichette’s contact ability.
• Statistics:
  • ISO: .154
  • xwOBA: .341
  • K%: 19.4%
  • BB%: 4.5%

Why Bichette is a Good Play:

• Bichette’s ability to put the ball in play and generate runs against a pitcher who allows a high wOBA.
• His place in the Blue Jays’ lineup enhances his chances for scoring runs and driving in RBIs.

3. Trevor Larnach (Minnesota Twins) vs. Dakota Hudson

Key Insights:

• Matchup: Hudson’s issues with left-handed hitters and Larnach’s power.
• Statistics:
  • ISO: .203
  • xwOBA: .352
  • K%: 27.2%
  • BB%: 11.8%

Why Larnach is a Good Play:

• Larnach’s ability to hit for power against right-handers, and Hudson’s control issues.
• His lower ownership in DFS contests makes him a valuable contrarian play.

Summary

Top Hitters:

1. Aaron Judge (Yankees)
2. Juan Soto (Yankees)
3. Carlos Correa (Twins)
4. Yordan Alvarez (Astros)
5. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (Blue Jays)

Under-the-Radar Plays:

1. Max Kepler (Twins)
2. Bo Bichette (Blue Jays)
3. Trevor Larnach (Twins)

These hitters offer a mix of power, plate discipline, and favorable matchups against pitchers who struggle with command and allow hard contact. Utilize these insights to build a strong DFS lineup for today’s MLB slate!