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MLB

MLB Prizepicks Best Bets Monday 5/20/24

<p>AP Photos</p>

AP Photos

Finding the best bets for today’s MLB slate can maximize your chances of success. By analyzing matchups, current form, and relevant statistics, we can identify the top plays for today.

Here are the top 5 MLB best bets for today’s slate, complete with key insights and reasons behind each pick.

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1. Milwaukee Brewers Moneyline vs. Miami Marlins

  • Insights: The Brewers face Ryan Weathers, a left-hander who has struggled against right-handed hitters.
  • Key Points:
    • Weathers has a .205 ISO and a .342 xwOBA against right-handed hitters.
    • Brewers’ right-handed bats, like William Contreras and Willy Adames, are well-positioned to exploit these weaknesses.
    • The Brewers have been consistent against left-handed pitching, giving them an edge in this matchup.
  • Injury Note: No significant injuries impacting key players in this matchup.

2. Houston Astros Moneyline vs. Los Angeles Angels

  • Insights: Framber Valdez on the mound gives the Astros a significant pitching advantage.
  • Key Points:
    • Valdez has a 31.3% strikeout rate against lefties and a 22.8% strikeout rate against righties.
    • Astros’ offense has been solid, especially against left-handed pitching, with key hitters like Jose Altuve and Alex Bregman in favorable spots.
    • The Angels struggle against high-caliber pitchers like Valdez.
  • Injury Note: No major injuries affecting the Astros’ key players.

3. Los Angeles Dodgers Moneyline vs. Arizona Diamondbacks

  • Insights: The Dodgers face Joe Mantiply, a left-handed opener, and likely primary pitcher Slade Cecconi.
  • Key Points:
    • Dodgers’ lineup is powerful, with Mookie Betts and Freddie Freeman excelling against left-handed pitching.
    • Mantiply has a high .220 ISO against right-handed hitters, and the Dodgers’ offense is primed to capitalize.
    • Dodgers’ starter Yoshinobu Yamamoto has been effective, giving them a solid edge on the mound.
  • Injury Note: No significant injuries impacting the Dodgers’ lineup.

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4. New York Yankees Moneyline vs. Seattle Mariners

  • Insights: Yankees’ offense is on fire, and Marcus Stroman provides stability on the mound.
  • Key Points:
    • Yankees’ recent offensive output: 10, 5, 4, 5, 4, 6, 7 runs in their last seven games.
    • Mariners’ Logan Gilbert has struggled recently, making this a favorable matchup for the Yankees.
    • Yankees’ bullpen is well-rested and effective, further solidifying their advantage.
  • Injury Note: No major injuries affecting the Yankees’ key players.

5. Minnesota Twins First Five Run Line vs. Washington Nationals

  • Insights: Pablo Lopez on the mound gives the Twins a strong early-game advantage.
  • Key Points:
    • Lopez has a 25.9% strikeout rate against lefties and a 32.5% strikeout rate against righties, dominating opposing lineups.
    • Nationals’ Mitchell Parker relies heavily on his fastball, a pitch the Twins excel against.
    • Twins are looking to bounce back from recent losses and have the offensive firepower to support Lopez.
  • Injury Note: No significant injuries impacting the Twins’ lineup.

Conclusion

Today’s MLB slate offers some excellent betting opportunities. The Brewers, Astros, Dodgers, Yankees, and Twins all have favorable matchups, bolstered by strong pitching and consistent offensive performance. Whether you’re betting on the moneyline or targeting first five run lines, these picks are backed by solid statistical analysis and recent performance trends. Good luck with your bets, and may the odds be ever in your favor!

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