MLB Preview Wednesday 6/5/24 Main Slate

Welcome to today’s MLB DFS Preview! We’ve got a packed slate with intriguing pitching matchups and plenty of data to dig into. In this article, we’ll break down each game, focusing on the key pitching stats and how they might impact the overall matchups.

We’ll save the deep dive into top hitters and stacks for later, but for now, let’s set the stage for today’s DFS action with a comprehensive look at the pitchers taking the mound. Let’s dive in!

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Kansas City Royals at Cleveland Guardians – 6:40 PM EDT – Progressive Field

Pitching Matchup:

• Royals: Brady Singer (RHP) – $9,000 DK / $8,900 FD
• Guardians: Nick Sandlin (RHP) – $7,000 DK / $5,500 FD

Game Insights:

• Brady Singer: With an xERA of 4.35 and a K% of 21%, Singer has had a somewhat inconsistent season. His high Hard Contact% (38%) and Ground Ball% (50%) indicate that while he induces grounders, hitters can square him up when they make contact.
• Nick Sandlin: Sandlin’s xERA of 2.58 and K% of 28% suggest he’s been quite effective. His .259 xWOBA indicates he limits hard contact well.

Key Points:

• The Royals struggle against right-handed pitching with a .310 TVSRHP, which might make Sandlin an interesting option.
• The Guardians have a decent .325 TVSRHP, making them slightly more potent against Singer.

Los Angeles Dodgers at Pittsburgh Pirates – 6:40 PM EDT – PNC Park

Pitching Matchup:

• Dodgers: James Paxton (LHP) – $7,700 DK / $7,900 FD
• Pirates: Paul Skenes (RHP) – $8,800 DK / $9,600 FD

Game Insights:

• James Paxton: Despite a 4.07 ERA, Paxton’s xERA of 5.24 and high Hard Contact% (33%) suggest he might be due for regression. His K% is a solid 21%, but his BB% at 10% could be a concern.
• Paul Skenes: Skenes has been stellar with an xERA of 2.83 and a K% of 36%. His .271 xWOBA shows he’s excellent at limiting damage.

Key Points:

• Dodgers hit righties well with a .336 TVSRHP, but they will be tested against Skenes.
• Pirates fare decently against lefties with a .292 TVSLHP, which could challenge Paxton.

Tampa Bay Rays at Miami Marlins – 6:40 PM EDT – LoanDepot Park

Pitching Matchup:

• Rays: Zach Eflin (RHP) – $7,500 DK / $8,700 FD
• Marlins: Braxton Garrett (LHP) – $7,600 DK / $8,400 FD

Game Insights:

• Zach Eflin: With a 3.56 xERA and a 24% K%, Eflin has been solid. His low BB% (3%) and moderate Hard Contact% (34%) are also positive indicators.
• Braxton Garrett: Garrett’s 3.48 xERA and 23% K% are decent, but his 40% Hard Contact% suggests he might be hit hard occasionally.

Key Points:

• Rays have a balanced offense with a .298 TVSRHP and .300 TVSLHP, which could exploit Garrett’s weaknesses.
• Marlins’ offensive struggles are evident with a .299 TVSRHP, making Eflin a more favorable option.

Minnesota Twins at New York Yankees – 7:05 PM EDT – Yankee Stadium

Pitching Matchup:

• Twins: Chris Paddack (RHP) – $6,900 DK / $7,400 FD
• Yankees: Carlos Rodon (LHP) – $8,400 DK / $9,500 FD

Game Insights:

• Chris Paddack: Paddack’s xERA of 4.32 and K% of 22% are decent, but his 4.64 ERA suggests he has been unlucky or inconsistent.
• Carlos Rodon: Rodon’s 4.32 xERA and 22% K% are average, with a slightly high BB% (9%).

Key Points:

• Yankees have a strong .350 TVSRHP, which could spell trouble for Paddack.
• Twins have a modest .309 TVSRHP, suggesting they might struggle against Rodon.

Baltimore Orioles at Toronto Blue Jays – 7:07 PM EDT – Rogers Centre

Pitching Matchup:

• Orioles: Albert Suarez (RHP) – $7,100 DK / $6,900 FD
• Blue Jays: Jose Berrios (RHP) – $8,200 DK / $9,000 FD

Game Insights:

• Albert Suarez: Suarez’s xERA of 3.01 and K% of 21% are good, but his 1.57 ERA might be unsustainable.
• Jose Berrios: Berrios’ xERA of 4.15 and 23% K% are respectable, but his 3.41 ERA suggests he has been slightly better than expected.

Key Points:

• Orioles have a decent .321 TVSRHP, potentially challenging Berrios.
• Blue Jays have a solid .312 TVSRHP, likely posing problems for Suarez.

Detroit Tigers at Texas Rangers – 8:05 PM EDT – Globe Life Field

Pitching Matchup:

• Tigers: Kenta Maeda (RHP) – $6,200 DK / $7,000 FD
• Rangers: Jose Urena (RHP) – $6,000 DK / $7,200 FD

Game Insights:

• Kenta Maeda: Maeda’s 4.84 xERA and 24% K% are decent, but his 4.79 ERA suggests inconsistency.
• Jose Urena: Urena’s 4.09 xERA and low 15% K% are concerning, with a high 36% Hard Contact%.

Key Points:

• Rangers have a strong .313 TVSRHP, likely putting pressure on Maeda.
• Tigers have a modest .300 TVSRHP, but Urena’s struggles could give them opportunities.

Chicago White Sox at Chicago Cubs – 8:05 PM EDT – Wrigley Field

Pitching Matchup:

• White Sox: Erick Fedde (RHP) – $8,100 DK / $8,600 FD
• Cubs: Jameson Taillon (RHP) – $7,800 DK / $8,200 FD

Game Insights:

• Erick Fedde: Fedde’s 3.43 xERA and 23% K% are strong indicators, with a moderate 29% Hard Contact%.
• Jameson Taillon: Taillon’s 3.56 xERA and 20% K% are decent, but his high 30% Hard Contact% could be problematic.

Key Points:

• Cubs have a decent .310 TVSRHP, making this a challenging matchup for Fedde.
• White Sox have a lower .284 TVSRHP, potentially struggling against Taillon.

San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Angels – 9:38 PM EDT – Angel Stadium

Pitching Matchup:

• Padres: Dylan Cease (RHP) – $9,800 DK / $10,300 FD
• Angels: Jose Soriano (RHP) – $7,300 DK / $8,000 FD

Game Insights:

• Dylan Cease: Cease’s 3.22 xERA and 28% K% are excellent, though his 4.25 ERA suggests some inconsistency.
• Jose Soriano: Soriano’s 3.98 xERA and 26% K% are decent, but his high 11% BB% could be an issue.

Key Points:

• Padres have a strong .342 TVSRHP, making Soriano’s job difficult.
• Angels have a lower .298 TVSRHP, potentially struggling against Cease.

Seattle Mariners at Oakland Athletics – 9:40 PM EDT – Oakland Coliseum

Pitching Matchup:

• Mariners: Logan Gilbert (RHP) – $9,200 DK / $10,200 FD
• Athletics: Joey Estes (RHP) – $6,400 DK / $6,800 FD

Game Insights:

• Logan Gilbert: Gilbert’s 3.41 xERA and 24% K% are strong, with a moderate 33% Hard Contact%.
• Joey Estes: Estes’ 3.46 xERA and 20% K% are decent, but his 6.46 ERA is concerning.

Key Points:

• Mariners have a solid .298 TVSRHP, which could exploit Estes’ struggles.
• Athletics have a lower .321 TVSRHP, likely finding it hard against Gilbert.

Conclusion

Today’s MLB DFS slate features intriguing pitching matchups and key statistics to consider. As we prepare for our hitters and stacks later today, keep these pitching insights in mind to help shape your DFS strategy. Stay tuned for more in-depth analysis!

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