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MLB
MLB Preview Wednesday 5/29/24 Main Slate
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Today’s MLB Main slate offers a diverse set of matchups with intriguing pitching duels and potential offensive fireworks.
This preview will focus on the pitching matchups and overall game dynamics to help you get a comprehensive understanding of what to expect. Let’s dive into each game on the slate.
Nationals vs. Braves – 7:20 PM ET – Truist Park
Pitching Matchup:
- MacKenzie Gore (L) – Nationals
- 27.5% K rate against lefties and 26.1% K rate against righties
- 13.7% BB rate against lefties and 7.8% against righties
- Allows .160 ISO to lefties and .185 to righties
- Spencer Schwellenbach (R) – Braves
- Yet to pitch this season, unknown metrics
Game Preview:
- Nationals Offense vs. Right-Handed Pitching:
- CJ Abrams and Lane Thomas are key hitters, but the team struggles with a high strikeout rate against right-handers.
- Gore will need to navigate a powerful Braves lineup featuring Ozzie Albies and Austin Riley, both of whom have strong numbers against lefties.
- Key Insights:
- Look for the Braves to capitalize on Gore’s walk rate, especially with runners in scoring positions.
- Albies and Riley could be pivotal due to their lower strikeout rates and higher ISO against left-handers.
Royals vs. Twins – 7:40 PM ET – Target Field
Pitching Matchup:
- Seth Lugo (R) – Royals
- 24.2% K rate against lefties and 21.1% against righties
- Allows .163 ISO to lefties and .141 to righties
- Bailey Ober (R) – Twins
- 22.1% K rate against lefties and 28.8% against righties
- Allows .138 ISO to lefties and .215 to righties
Game Preview:
- Royals Offense vs. Right-Handed Pitching:
- Bobby Witt Jr. leads the Royals with a .224 ISO and .384 xwOBA against right-handers.
- Lugo’s ability to limit hard contact will be tested against a Royals lineup with a mix of power and speed.
- Twins Offense vs. Right-Handed Pitching:
- Max Kepler and Ryan Jeffers bring power against righties, both with ISOs above .220.
- Ober’s strikeout ability, particularly against right-handed hitters, should help neutralize the Royals’ middle-order threats.
- Key Insights:
- Watch for how Lugo handles the top of the Twins lineup, especially Kepler and Correa, who have decent walk rates.
- Ober’s consistency in strikeouts could stifle the Royals, especially if he can command his pitches effectively.
Blue Jays vs. White Sox – 7:40 PM ET – Guaranteed Rate Field
Pitching Matchup:
- Alek Manoah (R) – Blue Jays
- 19.2% K rate against lefties and 20.9% against righties
- High walk rates with 13.9% against lefties and 12.0% against righties
- Chris Flexen (R) – White Sox
- 19.1% K rate against lefties and 14.2% against righties
- Allows .199 ISO to lefties and .231 to righties
Game Preview:
- Blue Jays Offense vs. Right-Handed Pitching:
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and Bo Bichette will be crucial, both sporting xwOBAs above .340.
- Manoah’s high walk rate could provide additional opportunities for the Blue Jays if they remain patient at the plate.
- White Sox Offense vs. Right-Handed Pitching:
- Andrew Vaughn and Gavin Sheets have solid ISOs but face a tough challenge against Manoah’s pitch arsenal.
- Flexen’s struggles with hard contact to both lefties and righties could spell trouble against a potent Blue Jays lineup.
- Key Insights:
- Manoah needs to minimize walks to avoid giving the White Sox extra base runners.
- Flexen’s vulnerability to power hitters makes Guerrero Jr. and Bichette key threats in this matchup.
Cubs vs. Brewers – 7:40 PM ET – American Family Field
Pitching Matchup:
- Shota Imanaga (L) – Cubs
- 27.7% K rate against lefties and 27.8% against righties
- Excellent control with low walk rates
- Bryse Wilson (R) – Brewers
- 22.7% K rate against lefties and 18.3% against righties
- Allows .230 ISO to lefties and .129 to righties
Game Preview:
- Cubs Offense vs. Right-Handed Pitching:
- Cody Bellinger and Christopher Morel are key players, both with ISOs above .200.
- Wilson’s struggles against left-handed power could be exploited by Bellinger.
- Brewers Offense vs. Left-Handed Pitching:
- William Contreras and Gary Sanchez bring power, with ISOs above .250 against lefties.
- Imanaga’s strikeout ability should help neutralize a Brewers lineup prone to high strikeout rates.
- Key Insights:
- Imanaga’s control and strikeouts could limit the Brewers’ scoring opportunities.
- Wilson needs to navigate the power hitters in the Cubs lineup to keep the game close.
Guardians vs. Rockies – 8:40 PM ET – Coors Field
Pitching Matchup:
- Logan Allen (L) – Guardians
- 23.4% K rate against lefties and 21.2% against righties
- Allows .148 ISO to lefties and .184 to righties
- Ty Blach (L) – Rockies
- 14.2% K rate against lefties and 13.1% against righties
- Allows .162 ISO to lefties and .198 to righties
Game Preview:
- Guardians Offense vs. Left-Handed Pitching:
- Jose Ramirez and Josh Naylor are key players, with Ramirez boasting a .343 xwOBA against lefties.
- Blach’s low strikeout rate and high contact allowed could be a recipe for a big night for the Guardians.
- Rockies Offense vs. Left-Handed Pitching:
- Ezequiel Tovar and Sean Bouchard provide some power, but the team has high strikeout rates.
- Allen’s ability to strike out batters should help mitigate the altitude advantage at Coors Field.
- Key Insights:
- The Guardians could capitalize on Blach’s contact tendencies, leading to potential offensive outbursts.
- Allen’s strikeouts will be crucial in preventing the Rockies from using Coors Field to their advantage.
Yankees vs. Angels – 9:38 PM ET – Angel Stadium
Pitching Matchup:
- Luis Gil (R) – Yankees
- 31.9% K rate against lefties and 31.5% against righties
- Allows .117 ISO to lefties and .071 to righties
- Tyler Anderson (L) – Angels
- 18.7% K rate against lefties and 18.3% against righties
- Allows .209 ISO to lefties and .167 to righties
Game Preview:
- Yankees Offense vs. Left-Handed Pitching:
- Aaron Judge and Giancarlo Stanton are key threats, both with ISOs above .260.
- Anderson’s struggles with control and hard contact could be exploited by the Yankees’ power hitters.
- Angels Offense vs. Right-Handed Pitching:
- Luis Rengifo and Taylor Ward provide solid offensive contributions but face a tough task against Gil.
- Gil’s high strikeout rate and ability to limit power make him a formidable opponent.
- Key Insights:
- The Yankees’ power bats could have a field day against Anderson if he struggles with control.
- Gil’s strikeout ability will be key in keeping the Angels’ offense in check.
Astros vs. Mariners – 9:40 PM ET – T-Mobile Park
Pitching Matchup:
- Justin Verlander (R) – Astros
- 22.4% K rate against lefties and 20.6% against righties
- Allows .117 ISO to lefties and .176 to righties
- George Kirby (R) – Mariners
- 24.4% K rate against lefties and 21.0% against righties
- Allows .177 ISO to lefties and .138 to righties
Game Preview:
- Astros Offense vs. Right-Handed Pitching:
- Yordan Alvarez and Kyle Tucker are key players, both with ISOs above .250.
- Verlander’s ability to limit hard contact and generate strikeouts will be crucial against a disciplined Astros lineup.
- Mariners Offense vs. Right-Handed Pitching:
- Julio Rodriguez and Cal Raleigh provide power, but Kirby’s high strikeout ability could stifle the Astros’ threats.
- Kirby’s control and ability to limit power should be advantageous in this matchup.
- Key Insights:
- Verlander’s experience and strikeout ability could dominate the Mariners’ lineup.
- Kirby’s control and low walk rate will be key in navigating the Astros’ powerful offense.
Conclusion
Today’s MLB DFS slate features some compelling pitching matchups that could significantly impact the overall game dynamics. By understanding each pitcher’s strengths and weaknesses and how they align with the opposing lineups, you can better anticipate the flow of the games and make informed DFS decisions. Stay tuned for our later analysis on the top hitters and stacks for today’s slate. Happy DFS gaming!
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