MLB Preview Wednesday 5/29/24 Early Slate

Welcome to today’s MLB DFS Early Slate preview! We’re diving into the pitching matchups across all games on the slate. This article focuses on the key insights and statistics for each matchup, helping you understand the strengths and weaknesses of the pitchers and how they stack up against opposing lineups.

Let’s get started!

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Cardinals @ Reds (1:10 PM ET)

Ballpark: Great American Ball Park

Pitching Matchup:

• Cardinals: Andre Pallante (R)
  • vs L: 47.1 IP, 13.3% K%, 6.7% BB%, .144 ISO, .310 xwOBA
  • vs R: 30.2 IP, 14.7% K%, 14.1% BB%, .100 ISO, .341 xwOBA
• Reds: Frankie Montas (R)
  • vs L: 21.0 IP, 11.9% K%, 9.9% BB%, .180 ISO, .373 xwOBA
  • vs R: 21.1 IP, 19.3% K%, 8.0% BB%, .125 ISO, .295 xwOBA

Game Insights:

• Weather: Mid-60s, 41-60% chance of precipitation, 10 mph wind
• Key Points:
  • Cardinals Hitters vs RHP:
    • Brendan Donovan and Lars Nootbaar have strong xwOBA numbers, suggesting good on-base potential.
    • Nolan Arenado provides power with a .175 ISO against RHP.
  • Reds Hitters vs RHP:
    • Elly De La Cruz and Spencer Steer have decent xwOBA and ISO, highlighting their power potential.
    • The Reds’ lineup features high strikeout rates, which could be exploitable by Pallante.

Diamondbacks @ Rangers (2:35 PM ET)

Ballpark: Globe Life Field

Pitching Matchup:

• Diamondbacks: Ryne Nelson (R)
  • vs L: 87.1 IP, 13.8% K%, 9.9% BB%, .235 ISO, .366 xwOBA
  • vs R: 91.0 IP, 17.8% K%, 4.5% BB%, .217 ISO, .332 xwOBA
• Rangers: Dane Dunning (R)
  • vs L: 95.0 IP, 20.2% K%, 9.9% BB%, .181 ISO, .338 xwOBA
  • vs R: 118.1 IP, 21.7% K%, 6.7% BB%, .131 ISO, .327 xwOBA

Game Insights:

• Key Points:
  • Diamondbacks Hitters vs RHP:
    • Corbin Carroll and Ketel Marte show strong xwOBA and ISO, indicating solid hitting performance.
    • Christian Walker adds power with a .214 ISO against RHP.
  • Rangers Hitters vs RHP:
    • Corey Seager and Adolis Garcia are standout hitters with high xwOBA and ISO, providing power and on-base potential.
    • Dane Dunning’s ground ball rate could limit home runs, but high ISO indicates vulnerability to extra-base hits.

Phillies @ Giants (3:45 PM ET)

Ballpark: Oracle Park

Pitching Matchup:

• Phillies: Cristopher Sanchez (L)
  • vs L: 35.1 IP, 32.2% K%, 5.8% BB%, .053 ISO, .188 xwOBA
  • vs R: 118.1 IP, 20.7% K%, 5.5% BB%, .172 ISO, .333 xwOBA
• Giants: Kyle Harrison (L)
  • vs L: 21.0 IP, 20.8% K%, 7.3% BB%, .179 ISO, .334 xwOBA
  • vs R: 73.2 IP, 22.9% K%, 8.2% BB%, .182 ISO, .335 xwOBA

Game Insights:

• Weather: Mid-70s, clear skies, moderate wind
• Key Points:
  • Phillies Hitters vs LHP:
    • Kyle Schwarber and J.T. Realmuto have significant power with high ISO numbers.
    • Bryce Harper‘s high xwOBA indicates consistent on-base potential.
  • Giants Hitters vs LHP:
    • Jorge Soler and Matt Chapman provide power, with high ISO and xwOBA figures.
    • The Giants’ lineup has a mix of contact and power hitters, potentially challenging Sanchez’s effectiveness.

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Dodgers @ Mets (4:10 PM ET)

Ballpark: Citi Field

Pitching Matchup:

• Dodgers: James Paxton (L)
  • vs L: 31.1 IP, 18.0% K%, 9.0% BB%, .101 ISO, .301 xwOBA
  • vs R: 113.2 IP, 21.6% K%, 10.1% BB%, .210 ISO, .328 xwOBA
• Mets: David Peterson (L)
  • vs L: 27.0 IP, 29.9% K%, 7.7% BB%, .189 ISO, .335 xwOBA
  • vs R: 84.0 IP, 24.8% K%, 10.9% BB%, .163 ISO, .341 xwOBA

Game Insights:

• Weather: Upper-70s, 29-46% chance of precipitation, 6-7 mph wind
• Key Points:
  • Dodgers Hitters vs LHP:
    • Mookie Betts and Shohei Ohtani lead the lineup with high xwOBA and ISO, indicating power and on-base ability.
    • Freddie Freeman adds consistent contact and power with a .216 ISO.
  • Mets Hitters vs LHP:
    • Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso provide power and on-base skills, essential against Paxton.
    • The Mets’ lineup shows a balance of power and plate discipline, potentially challenging Paxton.

Marlins @ Padres (4:10 PM ET)

Ballpark: Petco Park

Pitching Matchup:

• Marlins: Braxton Garrett (L)
  • vs L: 42.2 IP, 25.1% K%, 7.4% BB%, .108 ISO, .299 xwOBA
  • vs R: 135.2 IP, 23.3% K%, 3.4% BB%, .177 ISO, .333 xwOBA
• Padres: Yu Darvish (R)
  • vs L: 99.0 IP, 25.7% K%, 7.7% BB%, .164 ISO, .293 xwOBA
  • vs R: 90.2 IP, 23.1% K%, 6.7% BB%, .154 ISO, .307 xwOBA

Game Insights:

• Weather: Low-60s, clear skies, moderate wind
• Key Points:
  • Marlins Hitters vs RHP:
    • Jazz Chisholm Jr. and Jesus Sanchez show strong power potential with high ISO numbers.
    • The Marlins’ lineup has a mix of power and high strikeout rates, which could play into Darvish’s strengths.
  • Padres Hitters vs LHP:
    • Fernando Tatis Jr. and Manny Machado provide power and on-base ability, key against Garrett.
    • The Padres’ lineup shows good plate discipline and power, potentially challenging Garrett’s effectiveness.

Key Insights for DFS Players:

• Focus on weather conditions and ballpark factors, which can influence game outcomes.
• Monitor pitcher strikeout and walk rates to identify potential mismatches.
• Pay attention to hitter ISO and xwOBA to gauge power potential and on-base ability.
• Consider matchups and recent performance trends for both pitchers and hitters.

This comprehensive preview sets the stage for today’s MLB DFS Early slate, providing key insights and statistics to help you make informed decisions. Keep an eye out for the top hitters and stacks analysis later today.