MLB Preview Tuesday 7/23/24

Welcome to today’s MLB DFS Preview! We’ve got a full slate of games on the docket, and we’re diving deep into the pitching matchups to help you get a solid grasp on what to expect. We’ll break down each game, highlighting key insights and statistics to give you a comprehensive overview of today’s MLB action.

St. Louis Cardinals at Pittsburgh Pirates – 6:40 PM EDT – PNC Park

Pitching Matchup:

• St. Louis Cardinals: Lance Lynn (RHP) – 4.39 ERA, 22% K%, 9% BB%
• Pittsburgh Pirates: Paul Skenes (RHP) – 1.90 ERA, 35% K%, 5% BB%

Game Overview: This matchup features a stark contrast in pitching talent. Lance Lynn has struggled this season with a 4.39 ERA and a high contact rate. On the other hand, Paul Skenes has been dominant, boasting a sub-2 ERA and an impressive strikeout rate. The Pirates have a slight edge offensively with a .300 team wOBA against right-handed pitchers compared to the Cardinals’ .323 against righties. Expect Skenes to control the game, making it a tough outing for the Cardinals’ hitters.

Baltimore Orioles at Miami Marlins – 6:40 PM EDT – loanDepot park

Pitching Matchup:

• Baltimore Orioles: Albert Suarez (RHP) – 2.82 ERA, 19% K%, 8% BB%
• Miami Marlins: Kyle Tyler (RHP) – 3.38 ERA, 16% K%, 13% BB%

Game Overview: Albert Suarez has been a solid performer for the Orioles, keeping his ERA under 3.00 with a respectable strikeout rate. The Marlins’ offense, with a .295 wOBA against righties, might struggle against him. Kyle Tyler has been decent but can be erratic with his command, which could spell trouble against a potent Orioles lineup that has a .330 wOBA against right-handers.

Detroit Tigers at Cleveland Guardians – 6:40 PM EDT – Progressive Field

Pitching Matchup:

• Detroit Tigers: Joey Wentz (LHP) – 5.22 ERA, 23% K%, 12% BB%
• Cleveland Guardians: Xzavion Curry (RHP) – 5.19 ERA, 16% K%, 4% BB%

Game Overview: This game features two pitchers with ERAs north of 5.00. Joey Wentz has had control issues, leading to a high walk rate, while Xzavion Curry has been hittable with a .367 xwOBA. The Guardians have a slight advantage offensively, especially with their .339 wOBA against left-handed pitchers. Expect a high-scoring affair with both pitchers struggling to keep runs off the board.

San Diego Padres at Washington Nationals – 6:45 PM EDT – Nationals Park

Pitching Matchup:

• San Diego Padres: Randy Vasquez (RHP) – 4.57 ERA, 16% K%, 6% BB%
• Washington Nationals: DJ Hertz (LHP) – No Stats Available

Game Overview: Randy Vasquez has been inconsistent, with a 4.57 ERA and a high contact rate. The Nationals, despite being a low-scoring team, might find some success against him. DJ Hertz is an unknown quantity, making his debut. This game could go either way, depending on how well Hertz adjusts to the big leagues and how Vasquez handles a weak Nationals lineup.

New York Mets at New York Yankees – 7:05 PM EDT – Yankee Stadium

Pitching Matchup:

• New York Mets: Jose Quintana (LHP) – 4.13 ERA, 18% K%, 8% BB%
• New York Yankees: Luis Gil (RHP) – 3.17 ERA, 28% K%, 12% BB%

Game Overview: A classic New York showdown features Jose Quintana and Luis Gil. Quintana has been serviceable but will face a tough Yankees lineup that has a .338 wOBA against lefties. Luis Gil has electric stuff, as evidenced by his 28% strikeout rate. The Mets’ offense, with a .326 wOBA against righties, will need to be patient and capitalize on Gil’s occasional wildness.

Tampa Bay Rays at Toronto Blue Jays – 7:07 PM EDT – Rogers Centre

Pitching Matchup:

• Tampa Bay Rays: Shawn Armstrong (RHP) – 5.98 ERA, 22% K%, 10% BB%
• Toronto Blue Jays: Jose Berrios (RHP) – 4.01 ERA, 18% K%, 7% BB%

Game Overview: Shawn Armstrong has struggled mightily, with an ERA near 6.00 and a high hard contact rate. The Blue Jays, with their .309 wOBA against righties, could take advantage. Jose Berrios has been steady, and he’ll face a Rays lineup that has a .299 wOBA against right-handers. The Blue Jays have the pitching and hitting edge in this matchup.

Cincinnati Reds at Atlanta Braves – 7:20 PM EDT – Truist Park

Pitching Matchup:

• Cincinnati Reds: Nick Martinez (RHP) – 3.88 ERA, 19% K%, 3% BB%
• Atlanta Braves: Chris Sale (LHP) – 2.70 ERA, 32% K%, 6% BB%

Game Overview: Chris Sale is back to his dominant self with a stellar 2.70 ERA and a 32% strikeout rate. The Reds’ offense, with a .326 wOBA against lefties, will have their work cut out for them. Nick Martinez has been decent but will face a tough Braves lineup that has a .299 wOBA against right-handers. Expect Sale to control this game, giving the Braves a significant edge.

Philadelphia Phillies at Minnesota Twins – 7:40 PM EDT – Target Field

Pitching Matchup:

• Philadelphia Phillies: Zack Wheeler (RHP) – 2.70 ERA, 27% K%, 8% BB%
• Minnesota Twins: Simeon Woods Richardson (RHP) – 3.51 ERA, 21% K%, 7% BB%

Game Overview: Zack Wheeler has been excellent with a sub-3.00 ERA and strong strikeout numbers. The Twins’ lineup, with a .319 wOBA against righties, will be challenged. Simeon Woods Richardson has been solid but faces a Phillies lineup with a .331 wOBA against right-handers. Wheeler’s dominance could make this a low-scoring game in favor of the Phillies.

Chicago White Sox at Texas Rangers – 8:05 PM EDT – Globe Life Field

Pitching Matchup:

• Chicago White Sox: Garrett Crochet (LHP) – 3.02 ERA, 35% K%, 5% BB%
• Texas Rangers: Jon Gray (RHP) – 4.01 ERA, 20% K%, 6% BB%

Game Overview: Garrett Crochet has been a strikeout machine, boasting a 35% K rate. The Rangers, with a .301 wOBA against lefties, might struggle. Jon Gray has been steady, and the White Sox lineup has a .289 wOBA against right-handers. Crochet’s ability to miss bats could give the White Sox a slight edge in this matchup.

Milwaukee Brewers at Chicago Cubs – 8:05 PM EDT – Wrigley Field

Pitching Matchup:

• Milwaukee Brewers: Colin Rea (RHP) – 3.77 ERA, 17% K%, 7% BB%
• Chicago Cubs: Jameson Taillon (RHP) – 3.10 ERA, 20% K%, 5% BB%

Game Overview: Colin Rea has been effective but faces a Cubs lineup with a .312 wOBA against righties. Jameson Taillon has been better, sporting a 3.10 ERA. The Brewers’ offense, with a .331 wOBA against right-handers, could pose a challenge. This game could go either way, with pitching being relatively evenly matched.

Arizona Diamondbacks at Kansas City Royals – 8:10 PM EDT – Kauffman Stadium

Pitching Matchup:

• Arizona Diamondbacks: Jordan Montgomery (LHP) – 6.44 ERA, 15% K%, 8% BB%
• Kansas City Royals: Alec Marsh (RHP) – 4.57 ERA, 22% K%, 8% BB%

Game Overview: Jordan Montgomery has struggled mightily, with an ERA over 6.00. The Royals’ offense, with a .313 wOBA against lefties, could capitalize. Alec Marsh has been decent, and the Diamondbacks’ lineup has a .320 wOBA against right-handers. Expect the Royals to have the upper hand if Montgomery continues to struggle.

Boston Red Sox at Colorado Rockies – 8:40 PM EDT – Coors Field

Pitching Matchup:

• Boston Red Sox: Cooper Criswell (RHP) – 4.03 ERA, 20% K%, 6% BB%
• Colorado Rockies: Ty Blach (LHP) – 5.46 ERA, 12% K%, 5% BB%

Game Overview: Pitching at Coors Field is always a challenge. Cooper Criswell has been decent, but the Rockies’ offense has a .312 wOBA against righties. Ty Blach has struggled, with an ERA over 5.00, and the Red Sox lineup has a .346 wOBA against lefties. This game could be high-scoring, with both pitchers likely to give up runs.

Los Angeles Angels at Seattle Mariners – 9:40 PM EDT – T-Mobile Park

Pitching Matchup:

• Los Angeles Angels: Jose Soriano (RHP) – 3.71 ERA, 20% K%, 9% BB%
• Seattle Mariners: Logan Gilbert (RHP) – 2.79 ERA, 25% K%, 5% BB%

Game Overview: Jose Soriano has been solid, but the Mariners’ offense has a .296 wOBA against righties. Logan Gilbert has been outstanding with a sub-3.00 ERA and a strong strikeout rate. The Angels’ lineup, with a .296 wOBA against right-handers, will need to bring their A-game. Gilbert’s form gives the Mariners a significant advantage.

Houston Astros at Oakland Athletics – 9:40 PM EDT – Oakland Coliseum

Pitching Matchup:

• Houston Astros: Jake Bloss (RHP) – 4.70 ERA, 17% K%, 6% BB%
• Oakland Athletics: Osvaldo Bido (RHP) – 3.63 ERA, 20% K%, 15% BB%

Game Overview: Jake Bloss has been inconsistent, with a 4.70 ERA. The Athletics’ offense, with a .311 wOBA against righties, could find some success. Osvaldo Bido has been better but struggles with control, as evidenced by his 15% walk rate. The Astros, with a .321 wOBA against righties, have the offensive firepower to take advantage of Bido’s wildness.

San Francisco Giants at Los Angeles Dodgers – 10:10 PM EDT – Dodger Stadium

Pitching Matchup:

• San Francisco Giants: Jordan Hicks (RHP) – 3.79 ERA, 20% K%, 9% BB%
• Los Angeles Dodgers: Landon Knack (RHP) – 3.23 ERA, 23% K%, 6% BB%

Game Overview: Jordan Hicks has been effective, but the Dodgers’ offense, with a .323 wOBA against righties, will be a tough challenge. Landon Knack has been solid, and the Giants’ lineup has a .306 wOBA against right-handers. This game could be tight, with both pitchers having the ability to control the game.

That’s a wrap for today’s MLB DFS pitching preview! Stay tuned for our Top Hitters and Top Stacks analysis later today. Happy DFSing!