MLB Preview Friday 5/31/24

Welcome to today’s MLB DFS Preview! We’ve got a full slate of games, and this article will dive deep into the pitching matchups and overall game insights. Let’s break it down.

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Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs – 2:20 PM EDT – Wrigley Field

Pitching Matchup:

• Cincinnati Reds: Graham Ashcraft (RHP)
  • Stats: 4.63 ERA, 18% K%, 8% BB%, 4.49 xERA
• Chicago Cubs: Javier Assad (RHP)
  • Stats: 2.61 ERA, 21% K%, 9% BB%, 3.50 xERA

Game Insights:

• The Cubs are slight favorites, and their pitching edge with Assad is noticeable given his strong ERA and solid underlying metrics.
• Ashcraft’s higher ERA and lower strikeout rate could spell trouble against the Cubs’ lineup.
• Key Points:
  • Cubs favored at -154.
  • Reds struggle with a .290 wOBA vs. RHP.

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Phillies – 6:40 PM EDT – Citizens Bank Park

Pitching Matchup:

• St. Louis Cardinals: Miles Mikolas (RHP)
  • Stats: 4.99 ERA, 16% K%, 5% BB%, 4.76 xERA
• Philadelphia Phillies: Aaron Nola (RHP)
  • Stats: 4.11 ERA, 25% K%, 6% BB%, 3.45 xERA

Game Insights:

• Nola brings a strong strikeout rate and better control, making the Phillies heavy favorites.
• Mikolas has struggled with control and giving up hard contact, which the Phillies lineup can exploit.
• Key Points:
  • Phillies favored at -190.
  • Cardinals have a low .315 wOBA vs. RHP.

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles – 7:05 PM EDT – Oriole Park at Camden Yards

Pitching Matchup:

• Tampa Bay Rays: Aaron Civale (RHP)
  • Stats: 4.19 ERA, 23% K%, 7% BB%, 4.02 xERA
• Baltimore Orioles: Albert Suarez (RHP)
  • Stats: 1.78 ERA, 21% K%, 6% BB%, 2.78 xERA

Game Insights:

• Suarez has been dominant with a sub-2 ERA, giving the Orioles a slight edge.
• Civale’s numbers are respectable, but he may face challenges against Baltimore’s potent lineup.
• Key Points:
  • Orioles favored at -142.
  • Orioles excel with a .360 wOBA vs. RHP.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue Jays – 7:07 PM EDT – Rogers Centre

Pitching Matchup:

• Pittsburgh Pirates: Bailey Falter (LHP)
  • Stats: 4.65 ERA, 16% K%, 6% BB%, 5.09 xERA
• Toronto Blue Jays: Jose Berrios (RHP)
  • Stats: 3.49 ERA, 23% K%, 7% BB%, 4.49 xERA

Game Insights:

• Berrios provides stability for the Blue Jays with solid strikeout numbers.
• Falter’s higher ERA and lower strikeout rate could be a weakness the Jays’ lineup can exploit.
• Key Points:
  • Blue Jays favored at -166.
  • Blue Jays have a .307 wOBA vs. LHP.

Detroit Tigers vs. Boston Red Sox – 7:10 PM EDT – Fenway Park

Pitching Matchup:

• Detroit Tigers: Kenta Maeda (RHP)
  • Stats: 4.80 ERA, 25% K%, 7% BB%, 4.92 xERA
• Boston Red Sox: Tanner Houck (RHP)
  • Stats: 3.84 ERA, 22% K%, 7% BB%, 3.23 xERA

Game Insights:

• Houck has the edge with a lower ERA and strong underlying metrics.
• Maeda’s higher ERA and xERA suggest he may be vulnerable against the Red Sox offense.
• Key Points:
  • Red Sox favored at -158.
  • Red Sox have a .331 wOBA vs. RHP.

Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland Guardians – 7:10 PM EDT – Progressive Field

Pitching Matchup:

• Washington Nationals: Patrick Corbin (LHP)
  • Stats: 5.45 ERA, 15% K%, 8% BB%, 6.37 xERA
• Cleveland Guardians: Tanner Bibee (RHP)
  • Stats: 3.24 ERA, 24% K%, 8% BB%, 4.05 xERA

Game Insights:

• Bibee’s impressive ERA and strikeout rate make the Guardians clear favorites.
• Corbin’s high ERA and poor xERA suggest a tough outing against Cleveland’s lineup.
• Key Points:
  • Guardians heavily favored at -210.
  • Nationals struggle with a .308 wOBA vs. RHP.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. New York Mets – 7:10 PM EDT – Citi Field

Pitching Matchup:

• Arizona Diamondbacks: Jordan Montgomery (LHP)
  • Stats: 3.47 ERA, 20% K%, 6% BB%, 4.61 xERA
• New York Mets: Luis Severino (RHP)
  • Stats: 5.49 ERA, 19% K%, 9% BB%, 3.42 xERA

Game Insights:

• Severino’s high ERA indicates recent struggles, but his xERA suggests some bad luck.
• Montgomery’s solid ERA gives the Diamondbacks a slight edge.
• Key Points:
  • Mets slight favorites at -110.
  • Diamondbacks have a .302 wOBA vs. RHP.

Texas Rangers vs. Miami Marlins – 7:10 PM EDT – LoanDepot Park

Pitching Matchup:

• Texas Rangers: Jose Urena (RHP)
  • Stats: 4.99 ERA, 15% K%, 10% BB%, 3.91 xERA
• Miami Marlins: Sixto Sanchez (RHP)
  • Stats: 6.41 ERA, 12% K%, 9% BB%, 4.89 xERA

Game Insights:

• Both pitchers have struggled, but Urena’s xERA suggests he’s been slightly better.
• Sanchez’s high ERA and low strikeout rate are concerning for the Marlins.
• Key Points:
  • Rangers favored at -134.
  • Marlins have a .293 wOBA vs. RHP.

Oakland Athletics vs. Atlanta Braves – 7:20 PM EDT – Truist Park

Pitching Matchup:

• Oakland Athletics: JP Sears (LHP)
  • Stats: 4.49 ERA, 21% K%, 7% BB%, 4.22 xERA
• Atlanta Braves: Reynaldo Lopez (RHP)
  • Stats: 2.56 ERA, 28% K%, 11% BB%, 3.91 xERA

Game Insights:

• Lopez’s impressive strikeout rate and low ERA give the Braves a significant edge.
• Sears faces a tough challenge against Atlanta’s strong offense.
• Key Points:
  • Braves heavily favored at -220.
  • Braves have a .322 wOBA vs. LHP.

San Diego Padres vs. Kansas City Royals – 8:10 PM EDT – Kauffman Stadium

Pitching Matchup:

• San Diego Padres: Dylan Cease (RHP)
  • Stats: 4.19 ERA, 28% K%, 10% BB%, 3.11 xERA
• Kansas City Royals: Michael Wacha (RHP)
  • Stats: 3.58 ERA, 22% K%, 8% BB%, 3.40 xERA

Game Insights:

• Cease’s high strikeout rate and solid xERA make him a strong option for the Padres.
• Wacha has been reliable but faces a Padres lineup that can do damage.
• Key Points:
  • Padres favored at -134.
  • Royals have a .316 wOBA vs. RHP.

Minnesota Twins vs. Houston Astros – 8:10 PM EDT – Minute Maid Park

Pitching Matchup:

• Minnesota Twins: Pablo Lopez (RHP)
  • Stats: 3.90 ERA, 29% K%, 6% BB%, 3.25 xERA
• Houston Astros: Ronel Blanco (RHP)
  • Stats: 3.35 ERA, 23% K%, 12% BB%, 3.16 xERA

Game Insights:

• Lopez’s strong strikeout rate and low xERA give the Twins an edge on the mound.
• Blanco’s high walk rate could be a concern against the Twins’ patient hitters.
• Key Points:
  • Twins slight favorites at -106.
  • Astros have a .339 wOBA vs. RHP.

Chicago White Sox vs. Milwaukee Brewers – 8:10 PM EDT – American Family Field

Pitching Matchup:

• Chicago White Sox: Erick Fedde (RHP)
  • Stats: 3.10 ERA, 22% K%, 6% BB%, 3.40 xERA
• Milwaukee Brewers: Tobias Myers (RHP)
  • Stats: 5.00 ERA, 24% K%, 12% BB%, 4.43 xERA

Game Insights:

• Fedde’s impressive ERA and solid control make him a viable option against the Brewers.
• Myers’ high ERA and walk rate could be problematic for Milwaukee.
• Key Points:
  • Brewers favored at -174.
  • White Sox struggle with a .288 wOBA vs. RHP.

Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers – 10:10 PM EDT – Dodger Stadium

Pitching Matchup:

• Colorado Rockies: Dakota Hudson (RHP)
  • Stats: 5.30 ERA, 13% K%, 11% BB%, 5.47 xERA
• Los Angeles Dodgers: Walker Buehler (RHP)
  • Stats: 4.05 ERA, 23% K%, 4% BB%, 3.70 xERA

Game Insights:

• Buehler’s strong strikeout rate and low walk rate make him a heavy favorite against the Rockies.
• Hudson’s high ERA and low strikeout rate could spell trouble against the Dodgers’ potent lineup.
• Key Points:
  • Dodgers heavily favored at -330.
  • Rockies struggle with a .314 wOBA vs. RHP.

Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners – 10:10 PM EDT – T-Mobile Park

Pitching Matchup:

• Los Angeles Angels: Jose Soriano (RHP)
  • Stats: 3.46 ERA, 26% K%, 12% BB%, 3.57 xERA
• Seattle Mariners: Bryan Woo (RHP)
  • Stats: 3.66 ERA, 25% K%, 8% BB%, 2.17 xERA

Game Insights:

• Woo’s impressive xERA and solid strikeout rate give the Mariners an edge.
• Soriano has been solid but faces a tough Mariners lineup.
• Key Points:
  • Mariners favored at -166.
  • Angels struggle with a .311 wOBA vs. RHP.

New York Yankees vs. San Francisco Giants – 10:15 PM EDT – Oracle Park

Pitching Matchup:

• New York Yankees: Marcus Stroman (RHP)
  • Stats: 3.69 ERA, 21% K%, 10% BB%, 4.40 xERA
• San Francisco Giants: Jordan Hicks (RHP)
  • Stats: 2.88 ERA, 24% K%, 10% BB%, 3.60 xERA

Game Insights:

• Hicks’ strong ERA and strikeout rate make him a solid option for the Giants.
• Stroman’s higher xERA and walk rate could be a concern against the Giants’ lineup.
• Key Points:
  • Yankees favored at -138.
  • Giants have a .316 wOBA vs. RHP.

Stay tuned for our Top Hitters and Top Stacks preview coming later today. Happy DFS playing!

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