MLB DFS Top Pitchers Early Slates 4/24/24

Today’s MLB DFS action is divided into two distinct segments: the Early and Turbo slates, each featuring unique matchups and pitching duels. Below is a breakdown of the top pitching options for each slate, including some under-the-radar plays that could provide great value in your DFS lineups.

Early Slate Top Pitchers

• Blake Snell (San Francisco Giants)
  • Matchup: vs. New York Mets
  • Key Insights:
    • High strikeout rate of 31%, offering significant DFS upside.
    • Despite a 13% walk rate, Snell’s ERA of 2.82 suggests he can effectively navigate out of tight situations.
  • Why He’s a Top Play: Snell’s ability to rack up strikeouts makes him a high-ceiling option, especially effective against a Mets lineup that may be prone to strikeouts.
• Jordan Montgomery (Arizona Diamondbacks)
  • Matchup: at St. Louis Cardinals
  • Key Insights:
    • Solid ERA of 3.14 and a xWOBA of .270, indicating effective pitching and the ability to limit hard contact.
    • Montgomery’s low walk rate (6%) is crucial for controlling the Cardinals’ lineup.
  • Why He’s a Top Play: Known for his reliability and consistency, Montgomery provides a safer floor for DFS players, making him a strong candidate for cash games.

Under the Radar:

• Sean Manaea (New York Mets)
  • Matchup: at San Francisco Giants
  • Key Insights:
    • High strikeout percentage of 26%, which can be leveraged for DFS points.
    • Despite a higher xERA of 5.74, Manaea’s ability to strike out batters could be advantageous against a Giants lineup with variable offensive output.
  • Why He’s a Top Pick: The potential for high strikeouts makes Manaea a risky but potentially rewarding GPP play.

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Turbo Slate Top Pitchers

• Nick Lodolo (Cincinnati Reds)
  • Matchup: vs. Philadelphia Phillies
  • Key Insights:
    • Exceptional strikeout rate of 30% coupled with a solid 3.13 SIERA.
    • Despite a higher ERA of 4.86, Lodolo’s underlying metrics suggest a better performance, especially against right-handed batters.
  • Why He’s a Top Play: Lodolo’s high strikeout potential and ability to manage hitters on both sides of the plate make him a prime option for the Turbo slate.
• Landon Knack (Los Angeles Dodgers)
  • Matchup: at Washington Nationals
  • Key Insights:
    • Strong performance metrics including a 3.60 ERA and a balanced mix of strikeouts and control.
    • Faces a Nationals lineup lacking depth, providing a favorable context for a strong DFS outing.
  • Why He’s a Top Play: Knack offers value and reliability, making him suitable for all DFS formats due to his favorable matchup and pitching stability.
• Shawn Armstrong (Tampa Bay Rays)
  • Matchup: vs. Detroit Tigers
  • Key Insights:
    • Low ERA of 1.86 and a high strikeout rate of 27% against a struggling Tigers offense.
    • Armstrong’s performance metrics, including a xWOBA of .288, suggest he could dominate this matchup.
  • Why He’s a Top Play: His effectiveness and the Tigers’ offensive difficulties create a perfect scenario for a high-scoring DFS performance.

Under the Radar:

• Josh Fleming (Pittsburgh Pirates)
  • Matchup: vs. Milwaukee Brewers
  • Key Insights:
    • High ground ball rate of 61% could neutralize the Brewers’ power hitters.
    • While not known for strikeouts, Fleming’s ability to induce ground balls provides a path to DFS relevance, particularly in a pitcher-friendly park.
  • Why He’s a Top Pick: As a less commonly selected option, Fleming offers cost-effectiveness and could exceed expectations by minimizing damage and innings pitched.

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Strategy Tips for Pitcher Selection:

• High Strikeout Potential: Focus on pitchers with high K% for their DFS scoring ceiling.
• Pitcher vs. Lineup Matchup: Evaluate the opposing lineup’s strengths and weaknesses relative to the pitcher’s profile.
• Park Factors: Always consider the ballpark, as some venues significantly favor pitchers over hitters.

These insights should guide your DFS pitcher selections, helping you identify the top performers while also spotting valuable sleeper picks to differentiate your lineups in large-field tournaments.