MLB DFS Top Hitters 4/17/24

As we delve into today’s MLB DFS slate, identifying the top hitters is crucial for constructing winning lineups. Below, I’ve highlighted not only the most promising picks based on their current form and matchups but also a few under-the-radar hitters who could provide significant value.

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Top DFS Plays

1. Pete Alonso (Mets) – 1B | $5300

• Matchup: vs. Bailey Falter (LHP, Pirates)
• Key Stats: .326 ISO, .400 xWOBA vs LHP
• Why He’s a Top Play:
  • Power vs. Lefties: Alonso’s exceptional power metrics make him a major threat against Falter, who has struggled significantly against right-handed batters.
  • High Run Potential: With Falter’s ERA sitting at 5.17 and a tendency to give up home runs, Alonso is in a prime position to capitalize.

2. Ronald Acuña Jr. (Braves) – OF | $6500

• Matchup: vs. J.P. France (RHP, Astros)
• Key Stats: .248 ISO, .447 xWOBA vs RHP
• Why He’s a Top Play:
  • All-Around Threat: Acuña offers a blend of power and speed, making him a high-ceiling option in any DFS format, particularly against France who shows vulnerability with a .362 xWOBA against righties.
  • Statistical Edge: His ability to excel in multi-faceted ways (home runs, stolen bases, runs) makes him one of the day’s top plays.

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3. Fernando Tatis Jr. (Padres) – OF | $5500

• Matchup: vs. Freddy Peralta (RHP, Brewers)
• Key Stats: .185 ISO, .353 xWOBA vs RHP
• Why He’s a Top Play:
  • Bounce-Back Candidate: Despite Peralta’s solid stats, his occasional lapses provide Tatis with opportunities to exploit, especially given his power and speed.
  • Padres’ Key Hitter: As a central figure in the Padres’ lineup, Tatis is likely to be involved in most of the team’s scoring plays.

Under-the-Radar Plays

1. Ryan Jeffers (Twins) – C | $3900

• Matchup: vs. Bruce Zimmermann (LHP, Orioles)
• Key Stats: .295 ISO, .353 xWOBA vs LHP
• Why He’s a Sneaky Play:
  • Matchup Advantage: Zimmermann’s weakness against right-hand hitters (.345 xWOBA) aligns well with Jeffers’ power from the right side of the plate.
  • Value Pick: At a lower cost, Jeffers provides potential for high returns, making him a smart budget-friendly option.

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2. Jack Suwinski (Pirates) – OF | $3800

• Matchup: vs. Luis Severino (RHP, Mets)
• Key Stats: .253 ISO, .368 xWOBA vs RHP
• Why He’s a Sneaky Play:
  • Power Potential: Suwinski has shown he can hit right-hand pitching hard, and Severino’s elevated ERA and xWOBA this season present a good target.
  • Low Ownership: Likely to be less popular in DFS lineups, Suwinski offers differentiation and upside in large tournaments.

Conclusion

Today’s top hitters feature a mix of proven power hitters and strategic value plays that can maximize your DFS lineup’s potential. When selecting your hitters, consider these insights to capitalize on matchups and exploit pitchers’ weaknesses effectively. As always, the key to DFS success lies in balancing high-upside plays with strategic differentiators.