MLB Best Bets Thursday 7/4/24

Happy Fourth of July, baseball fans! Today, we’re diving into the best MLB bets for today’s slate of games. We’ve got some exciting matchups lined up, and I’m here to help you make the most informed picks. Let’s break down the top five bets for today, highlighting key players, stats, and any important injury updates.

Top 5 MLB Best Bets

1. Astros vs. Blue Jays

Bet: Astros Moneyline (-118)

• Pitching Matchup: Framber Valdez vs. Chris Bassitt
• Key Insights:
  • Valdez has been solid, despite a rough outing against the Mets. His overall stats (6-5, 4.11 ERA) suggest he’s capable of shutting down the Blue Jays, who have struggled offensively.
  • The Astros’ offense is heating up, scoring 9, 6, and 10 runs in their last three games. Yordan Alvarez and Jose Altuve are key players to watch.
  • The Blue Jays’ bullpen has been unreliable, and their offense ranks 23rd in runs scored.
  • Expect the Astros’ balanced attack and improving bullpen to secure a win.

2. Padres vs. Rangers

Bet: Padres Moneyline (+114)

• Pitching Matchup: Michael King vs. Max Scherzer
• Key Insights:
  • Scherzer has been dominant with a 1.74 ERA, but the Padres have a lineup capable of getting to him early.
  • Michael King has shown consistency, pitching a nerfy in 8 of his last 10 games.
  • Padres’ offense, led by Manny Machado and Jake Cronenworth, can exploit the Rangers’ bullpen which has a 4.09 ERA.
  • With Scherzer likely limited to 5-6 innings, the Padres have a good chance to win late.

3. Phillies vs. Cubs

Bet: Under 7.5 Runs

• Pitching Matchup: Cristopher Sanchez vs. Jameson Taillon
• Key Insights:
  • Sanchez boasts a 2.41 ERA, coming off a complete game shutout, indicating he’s in top form.
  • Both teams have struggled offensively, with the Cubs’ Cody Bellinger being a lone bright spot.
  • Cubs’ bullpen has been solid, maintaining a 4.00 ERA, keeping games tight.
  • With both pitchers capable of controlling the game, expect a low-scoring affair.

4. Brewers vs. Rockies

Bet: Brewers Moneyline (-145)

• Pitching Matchup: Tobias Myers vs. Cal Quantrill
• Key Insights:
  • Myers has been excellent, holding a 3.26 ERA and consistently performing well.
  • The Rockies’ offense is below average, despite playing at Coors Field.
  • Brewers have the 9th best bullpen in the majors with a 3.70 ERA.
  • Expect the Brewers to capitalize on the Rockies’ bullpen struggles and secure a win.

5. Orioles vs. Mariners

Bet: Orioles Moneyline (-140)

• Pitching Matchup: Corbin Burnes vs. Bryce Miller
• Key Insights:
  • Burnes has been stellar with a 2.28 ERA, dominating in his last few outings.
  • The Orioles’ offense is one of the best in the league, ranking top two in runs scored.
  • The Mariners’ offense has been abysmal, ranking 27th in runs scored.
  • Baltimore’s bullpen ranks third in the majors, providing late-game stability.
  • With Burnes on the mound and a potent lineup, the Orioles are poised to win.

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That wraps up today’s top MLB bets! Remember to keep an eye on lineup changes and last-minute injury updates before placing your bets. Enjoy the games and good luck!