MLB Best Bets Thursday 10/10/24

Welcome back, everyone! It’s playoff season, and we have two exciting MLB playoff games on the slate today. I’ll break down each matchup, give you some key insights, and present the best bets for today’s action.

We’ll be diving into the Tigers vs. Guardians and the Royals vs. Yankees games, highlighting player props, moneyline picks, and totals.

So, let’s get started!

Game 1: Tigers vs. Guardians

• Series Update: The Tigers lead the series 2-1, and they have a chance to close it out today at home. Both teams have shown inconsistency on offense, which has made for some low-scoring affairs so far.
• Pitching Matchup: The Guardians will send Tanner Bibee to the mound, while the Tigers are likely to counter with Reese Olson.

Best Bets

1. Tigers Moneyline (+100):
   • The Guardians’ offense has been lackluster in this series, with the Tigers’ pitching shutting them down in back-to-back games. Tanner Bibee was solid in his first outing, but the Guardians’ inability to support him offensively is concerning.
   • Why: The Guardians are the fifth-worst team against sliders in the past 30 days, which is a key pitch in Reese Olson’s arsenal. The Tigers are also at home, and closing out the series in front of their fans gives them an edge.
2. Total Runs Under 6.5 (-110):
   • With both teams struggling to produce runs, the under has been a strong play throughout this series. Each team has posted a shutout win, and runs have been hard to come by.
   • Why: Neither lineup has been consistent, and with playoff intensity high, expect another low-scoring contest.
3. Player Prop: Tanner Bibee Over 4.5 Strikeouts (-140):
   • Bibee has hit the 4.5 strikeout mark in nine of his last ten starts, and he fanned six Tigers in his previous start against them in Game 1.
   • Why: The Tigers strike out frequently against right-handers, and despite Bibee’s short leash in a do-or-die game, he has the stuff to get through the order twice and hit this number.

Game 2: Royals vs. Yankees

• Series Update: Yankees lead the series 2-1 and can eliminate the Royals with a win today. The Royals’ bats have gone cold at the worst possible time, putting them in a tough spot.
• Pitching Matchup: The Yankees will send their ace, Gerrit Cole, to the mound against the Royals’ Michael Wacha.

Best Bets

1. Yankees Moneyline (-150):
   • The Yankees have the advantage in pitching and hitting, and with their ace Gerrit Cole on the mound, they’re in a prime position to finish off the Royals at home.
   • Why: The Royals have struggled against power arms, and Cole’s fastball has given them trouble all season long. This should be a dominant outing for Cole, with the Yankees’ bats likely providing enough support.
2. Yankees Team Total Over 3.5 Runs (-125):
   • Michael Wacha relies heavily on his changeup and sinker, pitches that the Yankees have crushed in the past month. Expect them to put up some runs early and often.
   • Why: The Yankees have seen Wacha’s pitch mix multiple times this season and have had success. This team is built to handle off-speed pitchers, and they should capitalize on Wacha’s mistakes.
3. Player Prop: Gerrit Cole Over 6.5 Strikeouts (-110):
   • Cole dominated the Royals earlier in the series, and with the Royals’ struggles against fastballs, this is a spot where he can rack up Ks.
   • Why: In a high-leverage game, Cole’s strikeout rate tends to increase. Look for him to go deep into the game, giving him plenty of opportunities to hit this prop.

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Final Bets Recap:

• Tigers Moneyline (+100)
• Total Runs Under 6.5 (-110)
• Tanner Bibee Over 4.5 Strikeouts (-140)
• Yankees Moneyline (-150)
• Yankees Team Total Over 3.5 Runs (-125)
• Gerrit Cole Over 6.5 Strikeouts (-110)

Good luck with your bets, and let’s keep cashing these tickets!