MLB Best Bets Saturday 6/29/24

Welcome to today’s MLB Best Bets preview! We’ve analyzed today’s slate to bring you the top five best bets, backed by key insights and statistical analysis. Let’s dive into the matchups and break down why these bets stand out.

1. Philadelphia Phillies Moneyline vs. Miami Marlins

Key Insights:

• Pitching Matchup: Aaron Nola (PHI) vs. Rodolfo Munoz (MIA)
• Recent Performance: Nola has been stellar, posting a 3.39 ERA and coming off a strong outing against Detroit. Munoz, on the other hand, has struggled with a 5.80 ERA, allowing six home runs in his last two starts.
• Injuries: The Phillies are missing Bryce Harper and Kyle Schwarber, but their depth has stepped up in their absence.
• Why Bet the Phillies: Despite injuries, the Phillies’ lineup remains potent against a struggling Munoz. Nola’s consistency on the mound provides a solid foundation for this bet.

Suggested Bet: Phillies Moneyline

2. New York Yankees Moneyline vs. Toronto Blue Jays

Key Insights:

• Pitching Matchup: Nestor Cortes (NYY) vs. Chris Bassitt (TOR)
• Recent Performance: Cortes has been reliable, with a 3.40 ERA, and the Yankees’ bats came alive in their last game, scoring 16 runs.
• Injuries: The Yankees are without Giancarlo Stanton, but their offensive depth remains strong.
• Why Bet the Yankees: Bassitt has struggled against powerful lineups, and the Yankees excel at hitting sinkers, which Bassitt throws frequently. With Cortes on the mound and the Yankees’ offense finding its stride, this is a solid bet.

Suggested Bet: Yankees Moneyline

3. Milwaukee Brewers Moneyline vs. Chicago Cubs

Key Insights:

• Pitching Matchup: Justin Steele (CHC) vs. Tobias Myers (MIL)
• Recent Performance: Steele has a solid 3.08 ERA but has been vulnerable to home runs recently. Myers has been effective, helping the Brewers to a five-game winning streak.
• Why Bet the Brewers: The Brewers’ offense is hot, and their bullpen is reliable. Steele’s recent home run issues could be exploited by Milwaukee’s power hitters.

Suggested Bet: Brewers Moneyline

4. Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Oakland Athletics (Under 8.5 Runs)

Key Insights:

• Pitching Matchup: Zack Gallen (ARI) vs. Hogan Harris (OAK)
• Recent Performance: Gallen returns from a hamstring injury and has been solid when healthy. Harris has a 2.72 ERA and has been effective in recent starts.
• Why Bet the Under: Both pitchers have shown the ability to limit runs. The Diamondbacks’ offense has struggled recently, and the Athletics are one of the lowest-scoring teams in the league.

Suggested Bet: Under 8.5 Runs

5. San Diego Padres Moneyline vs. Boston Red Sox

Key Insights:

• Pitching Matchup: Tanner Houck (BOS) vs. Michael King (SDP)
• Recent Performance: Houck has been inconsistent, while King has shown flashes of brilliance. The Padres’ offense has been on fire, scoring at least seven runs in their last four games.
• Why Bet the Padres: The Padres’ offensive surge, combined with King’s ability to keep the Red Sox in check, makes this a favorable matchup for San Diego.

Suggested Bet: Padres Moneyline

Under-the-Radar Plays

1. Baltimore Orioles Moneyline vs. Texas Rangers

Key Insights:

• Pitching Matchup: Cade Povich (BAL) vs. Michael Lorenzen (TEX)
• Recent Performance: Povich has been shaky but shows potential, while Lorenzen has been solid but faces a potent Orioles lineup.
• Why Bet the Orioles: Baltimore’s offense has been explosive, and Povich has the potential to hold the Rangers at bay.

Suggested Bet: Orioles Moneyline

2. Cleveland Guardians Moneyline vs. Kansas City Royals

Key Insights:

• Pitching Matchup: Tanner Bibee (CLE) vs. Cole Ragans (KC)
• Recent Performance: Bibee has a 3.50 ERA and has been effective, while Ragans has been inconsistent.
• Why Bet the Guardians: Cleveland’s pitching edge with Bibee and their offensive depth make them a strong play against the Royals.

Suggested Bet: Guardians Moneyline

Final Thoughts

Today’s MLB slate offers several promising betting opportunities. The Phillies, Yankees, Brewers, Diamondbacks, and Padres provide strong value based on pitching matchups and recent performances. Additionally, the Orioles and Guardians are intriguing under-the-radar plays. Maximize your betting and fantasy picks with Oddsjam, designed to help you quickly identify the most reliable bets in today’s games. Good luck!