Best Fliff Parlay Bets, Picks & Predictions for May 14, 2023

It’s still Saturday night but it’s never too early to be thinking about the best bets for Sunday’s slate of MLB action. I found two incredible bets on Fliff and made a positive expected value parlay.

Pick #1: San Francisco Giants -1.5 | +145 at Fliff

4:10 p.m. ET

My first pick in this article for May 14 is the San Francisco Giants to cover the -1.5 run line on the road against the Arizona Diamondbacks. Just take a look at the value we are getting here. No other sportsbook lists the Giants above +135, and half are all the way down in the +120s. The +145 price is also an arbitrage line to Pin, one of the sharpest sportsbooks in the world.

Follow the data – that’s how you actually make money sports betting… You look for value & inefficiencies in the market.

As sharp bettors, we treat every sportsbook as a data point on where the line should be set. In this case, all data points (e.g. bookmakers posting odds) don’t have the Giants to cover the run line anywhere near +145 odds. Think about it. Why would I ever bet Giants -1.5 at FanDuel or Caesars?

If I bet $100 on this play individually, those two books would only have we winning $122, but a win at Fliff would give me $145 of profit. That extra $23 is a huge deal, especially when you consistently line shop instead of betting at the first book you see or only book you have.

This player prop was found using the OddsJam Positive EV Tool (bet in bold/green = profitable). The Positive EV Tool is pretty simple to use – you just hit the betting picks in green & bold. So in the screenshot above, the Giants at +145 on Fliff is bolded and highlighted in green, suggesting you bet the Giants at that specific sportsbook.

The Positive EV Tool is just based in data – sportsbook odds… Long story short, OddsJam takes the “fluff” out of sports betting on Fliff and every other sportsbook and DFS site.

I decided to make this the first leg of my parlay, alongside another positive EV play: Texas Rangers -1.5, which I got for +120.

Some people like to say that parlays aren’t the way to make money sports betting, but if the parlays are positive expected value they can be super profitable. Check out my profit chart from Pikkit, a verified bet tracker.