Bankroll Builder: MLB Best Bets, Picks & Predictions for Tuesday, May 23

We have a full state of baseball on Tuesday – 15 MLB games…

In this betting preview, I’ll be breaking down an MLB bet for Guardians vs White Sox. First pitch in this game is set for 6:10 PM EST.

As seen in the line movement chart above from OddsJam, lines have been ripping towards the Guardians since sportsbooks opened odds. As an example, on FanDuel, the odds on Guardians +1.5 has moved from -182 to -230.

Guardians vs White Sox Pick: Guardians +1.5 @ -180 Odds on Fliff Sportsbook

My MLB pick for Guardians vs White Sox is Guardians +1.5 run line at -180 odds on Fliff.

I found this sharp MLB pick on the OddsJam Positive EV Betting Tool (bet in green = profitable).

The Positive EV Tool is simple – it just points out value in the market. There’s no fluff, no B.S.

As seen in the screenshot above, the average ‘price’ (e.g. odds) on Guardians +1.5 run line is -212 odds. As sharp bettors, we treat every sportsbook as a data point on where the line should be set.

Fliff is clearly asleep at the wheel still offering the Guardians +1.5 run line at -180 odds; every other sportsbook has moved the Guardians +1.5 run line to roughly -210. We’re getting 30 cents of improvement on Fliff at -180 odds, and this is clear value. We found an “edge.”

As sharp bettors, we’re like investors or day traders. We’re hunting for value in the market. Since books set lines independently (e.g. each book has different odds), we’re looking for large discrepancies in where bookmakers are pricing a line.

I locked in this MLB bet on Fliff for $250, which is the maximum stake allowed on this sportsbook. I’m betting $250 to win a total payout of $388.88.