Wednesday MLB Pick: A Strikeout Prop for Guardians vs. Royals

Let’s head over to Fliff for a profitable strikeout prop pick. Fliff is one of my favorite places to play because I can do so in many states where sports betting is not yet legal. Fliff is actually a social sportsbook, which allows it to operate in states like California.

f you haven’t signed up for Fliff yet, be sure to do so as many of the sharp betting plays I give out are from them. If you use the code ‘ODDSJAM’ at sign-up, Fliff will match your first deposit up to $100.

Also, make sure you are following me on Twitter @AlexMonahan100 and turning on notifications, as all the plays I post are mathematically profitable and don’t last. Sportsbooks are quick to change odds, so being on top of these picks is crucial to getting them at good value.

Guardians vs. Royals Pick: Logan Allen Over 4.5 Strikeouts | -105 at Fliff

This play comes from the OddsJam Positive EV page, which is one of the tools I use as a very profitable sports bettor.

As you can see in the screenshot above, most sportsbooks significantly favor Allen’s over 4.5 strikeouts, whereas we are getting it at Fliff for just -105.

The Positive EV tool is so valuable because it provides betting picks that beat the vig (a.k.a juice, which is how sportsbooks make their money) and allows us to compare odds in the market. In our example here, we’ve got a play that is Positive EV and the sharpest books are telling us they expect Allen to go over 4.5 strikeouts.

Finding plays like this with an edge is easy using the tool. It identifies these select profitable betting opportunities out of the thousands and thousands of odds sportsbooks have at a time. The tool then bolds and highlights in green the profitable bet to make it as simple as possible for the user.

Best of luck if you tail, and stay tuned for more profitable bets!