PGA Preview AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am

As we gear up for the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am, let’s dive into a detailed analysis of the matchups and key players. This week’s event promises excitement with its unique format and challenging courses.

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Event Overview

• Courses: Pebble Beach Golf Links & Spyglass Hill Golf Course, both in Pebble Beach, California.
• Key Characteristics:
  • Short Par 72 courses
  • Small greens (especially at Pebble Beach)
  • Fairway precision outweighs driving distance
• Strategies: Emphasis on approach play, scrambling, and proficiency on poa annua greens.
• Field Size: 79 golfers with no cut this week.

Key Stats to Consider

• Strokes Gained: Approach
• Strokes Gained: Around-the-Green
• Strokes Gained: Putting (especially on poa annua)
• Bogey Avoidance
• Total Driving / Strokes Gained Off the Tee
• Experience in California

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Top Matchups and Insights

1. Rory McIlroy ($11,500 DK; $12,200 FD) vs Field
   • Odds: 8
   • Form: Consistently high-performing with finishes of 1, 2, 22, 7, and 16 in last 5 events.
   • Insight: Rory’s impeccable form and balanced game make him a top contender, especially with his strong approach play.
2. Scottie Scheffler ($11,400 DK; $12,100 FD) vs Field
   • Odds: 9
   • Insight: Recent performances include a win and top 5 finishes, indicating strong form. His well-rounded game adapts well to both courses.
3. Viktor Hovland ($10,200 DK; $11,900 FD) vs Field
   • Odds: 12
   • Insight: Showcasing consistency with two top 10s in his last five starts. His strong approach game will be key on these courses.
4. Xander Schauffele ($10,000 DK; $11,600 FD) vs Field
   • Odds: 14
   • Insight: A strong performer in California events, Xander’s game suits the course demands, particularly in approach and putting.
5. Jordan Spieth ($9,400 DK; $11,400 FD) vs Field
   • Odds: 18
   • Form: Five cuts made in five starts with two top 10s.
   • Insight: Spieth’s history at Pebble Beach and strong scrambling skills make him a viable pick.
6. Max Homa ($9,200 DK; $11,100 FD) vs Field
   • Odds: 18
   • Insight: Recent form shows consistency with a win and several top 15 finishes. His ability to navigate poa annua greens gives him an edge.
7. Collin Morikawa ($9,100 DK; $10,900 FD) vs Field
   • Odds: 22
   • Insight: Known for his elite iron play, Morikawa’s approach game could be a significant advantage on these courses.
8. Patrick Cantlay ($9,700 DK; $11,300 FD) vs Field
   • Odds: 20
   • Insight: A solid pick given his consistent performance in California events and strong all-around game.

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Sleepers and Value Picks

• Tommy Fleetwood ($8,600 DK; $9,900 FD): Strong recent form and experience on poa annua greens.
• Jason Day ($8,400 DK; $10,000 FD): Excellent course history at Pebble Beach and recent form indicates a potential strong showing.
• Brian Harman ($7,600 DK; $9,300 FD): Consistency and a knack for small greens could make him a dark horse.

Final Thoughts

The AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am presents unique challenges with its no-cut format and emphasis on specific skills like approach play and putting on poa annua. The event’s top contenders like Rory McIlroy and Scottie Scheffler are in excellent form and align well with the course demands. Additionally, sleepers like Tommy Fleetwood and Jason Day could offer great value given their skills and recent performances. As always, monitor the weather and wind conditions, as they can significantly impact play at Pebble Beach.