WNBA Best Bets Tuesday 9/10/24

Hey everyone, let’s dive into today’s WNBA slate and uncover some of the best bets available. The WNBA season is heating up, and we’ve got some key matchups to break down. With insights into player performance, team trends, and key stats, I’m going to walk you through my top leans for today. Let’s get into it!

Minnesota Lynx vs. Atlanta Dream

Lean: Lynx -5.5

Minnesota comes into this game on a hot streak, winning 9 of their last 10, while Atlanta has struggled, winning just 4 of their last 10. Minnesota’s offensive efficiency is clearly superior, ranking first in field goal percentage and second in three-point percentage over their last 10 games. The Dream, on the other hand, are dead last in field goal percentage during that same stretch.

While the Dream are desperate for a playoff spot, their offensive struggles and Minnesota’s dominance in previous matchups (winning all three meetings, two by double digits) make the Lynx the safer lean. Minnesota has shown better depth, and while Atlanta has done well on the boards, they’ve struggled in limiting turnovers, which could hurt them against the Lynx’s fast-paced offense.

• Key Points:
  • Minnesota won 9 of their last 10 games.
  • Atlanta ranks last in field goal percentage over their last 10 games.
  • Lynx have covered against Atlanta in all three matchups this season.

Total Lean: Over 160.5

Despite Minnesota’s solid defense, the Dream’s defensive rating in their last 10 games (7th overall) opens the door for Minnesota to score. I’m expecting the over to hit with both teams pushing the pace in a game where Atlanta will be fighting to stay alive in the playoff race.

New York Liberty vs. Dallas Wings

Lean: Dallas +10

This is an interesting matchup with New York being heavy favorites, but the Wings have been tricky to predict. Dallas has been officially eliminated from playoff contention, but they’ve covered the spread in three of their last four meetings with the Liberty. New York, despite being a top team, has struggled covering as double-digit favorites (2-13 ATS when favored by 10 or more).

Dallas can score efficiently, but their defense has been a disaster, allowing the second-most points per game and ranking near the bottom in defending fast breaks. While New York should win comfortably, the Wings’ ability to put points on the board could make this game tighter than expected.

• Key Points:
  • New York is 2-13 against the spread when double-digit favorites.
  • Dallas has covered in 3 of their last 4 games against New York.
  • The Wings are scoring the second-most points from the paint, but struggle defensively.

Total Lean: Over 172.5

Both teams like to push the pace, and with Dallas’ inability to defend, I’m leaning toward the over. Dallas has shown they can score, and New York’s defense has regressed slightly in recent games, allowing more opportunities for Dallas to keep this game competitive.

Connecticut Sun vs. Los Angeles Sparks

Lean: Sun -10.5

Connecticut is pushing for the #2 seed and has been a dominant force against the Sparks this season, winning all three previous meetings by an average of 10 points. The Sun completely controlled their last matchup, and LA’s struggles don’t seem to be improving. Connecticut’s defense has been elite, and the Sparks have averaged just 66 points per game in their matchups this season.

LA will be missing key players due to injuries, further diminishing their chances to cover. Given Connecticut’s superior depth and strong defense, this one looks like another comfortable win for the Sun.

• Key Points:
  • Connecticut is fighting for the #2 seed.
  • The Sun have won all three matchups against LA by an average of 10 points.
  • LA has multiple players out with injuries and has struggled to score against Connecticut.

Total Lean: Under 158.5

Each of the previous three matchups between these teams has gone under 150 total points. With LA’s offensive struggles and Connecticut’s strong defense, I’m leaning heavily toward the under in this game. Neither team has much offensive firepower to push the total higher.

Final Thoughts

That wraps up our breakdown of the top WNBA bets for today’s slate. Make sure to shop around for the best lines, and if you’re looking for a trusted platform to help you identify the best value, maximize your betting and fantasy picks with Oddsjam.

With Oddsjam, you can quickly find the most profitable bets, including Promo Finder, Promo Converter, Arbitrage Bets, Positive Expected Value (+EV) Bets, and more. Plus, they offer a 7-day free trial with 100+ tutorial videos and free coaching sessions. Don’t miss out on a chance to unlock your full betting potential!

Good luck, and I hope you cash in on today’s action!