Welcome back to another edition of WNBA Best Bets Today! We’ve got an exciting matchup between the Minnesota Lynx and Connecticut Sun in Game 5 of the series.
This elimination game promises to be a thriller, and we’ve got key insights and top plays for today’s slate. Let’s dive in and break down each matchup and the players that offer the best betting opportunities.
Key Matchup: Minnesota Lynx vs. Connecticut Sun
Breakdown:
Game 5 Elimination Showdown: Minnesota and Connecticut have gone back and forth all series, making this a tough battle to call. With both teams boasting top-tier defenses, expect another physical, high-intensity matchup.
Defensive Emphasis: Minnesota and Connecticut rank 1st and 2nd respectively in points allowed per game. With such defensive prowess on display, player props might be the safer play here over betting the spread.
Why: Alyssa Thomas has been the heart and soul of this Sun team, doing everything on the court. She’s averaged over 32.5 points, rebounds, and assists in four of her last five games, showcasing her versatility.
Matchup Analysis: The Lynx struggle to contain playmaking centers like Thomas, who has surpassed this line in 71% of her last 14 games against Minnesota. With an elimination game on the line, expect Thomas to be heavily involved on both ends of the floor.
Stat to Know: In the last seven matchups against Minnesota this year, Thomas has cleared this mark five times.
Why: Bonner finally broke out of her shooting slump in Game 4, scoring 18 points on an efficient 8-for-12 from the field. Her confidence is back, and the Sun will lean on her scoring ability in this crucial game.
Matchup Analysis: Minnesota’s defense will focus on stopping Alyssa Thomas, opening more scoring opportunities for Bonner. In elimination games, stars shine the brightest, and Bonner has hit over 12.5 points in six of her last eight games against the Lynx.
Stat to Know: Bonner has hit this point total in 75% of her games during the regular season.
Why: Williams faces the toughest defensive matchup on the court. Connecticut ranks 1st against guards in rebounds and assists allowed. In a defensive slugfest, it’s hard to see Williams contributing much outside of scoring.
Matchup Analysis: Williams has stayed under this combined total in four straight games against the Sun, and it’s unlikely that trend changes tonight.
Stat to Know: Connecticut has held Williams under 9.5 rebounds and assists in five of their seven matchups this season.
Game Insights and Analysis:
Sun’s Defense: Connecticut has been a nightmare matchup for Minnesota’s role players, forcing someone outside of Napheesa Collier to step up and deliver. With the Sun expected to regress slightly from their scorching 53% shooting in Game 4, it’s the perfect spot to lean towards unders on many offensive props.
Minnesota’s Supporting Cast: The Lynx have struggled to find consistent offensive production outside of Collier. Their ability to support her will determine how far they go, and that lack of depth makes it tough to back any overs for secondary players.
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