Subscribe to our newsletter
We'll send you bets and resources to help you profit
World Cup Betting: A Profitable Play for Thursday
AP Photos
In this article, I’ll be sharing a profitable World Cup bet that I am on. It’s for Switzerland vs. Cameroon on Thursday. The game starts at 5:00am EST, so, no, I will not be awake to watch it.
Switzerland vs. Cameroon: Predictions and Odds
We can start out by looking through the moneyline odds. Unsurprisingly, Switzerland is a large favorite. They are best offered at -134 odds on Pinnacle sportsbook. The Draw is best offered at +260 on DraftKings, and Cameroon is best offered at +475 on BetOnline.
As a sharp bettor, you always need to get the best possible odds in your location. This is sports betting 101. If you’re not line shopping, then you’re getting ripped off. And, if you’re getting ripped off, then you shouldn’t bet on sports… Savvy investors look for value – it’s no different as a sharp bettor.
Finding the best possible odds on all of your plays is called “line shopping.” OddsJam has real-time World Cup odds from 50+ sportsbooks, which makes it easy.
My Best World Cup Bets & Picks
I don’t have a moneyline play on Cameroon vs. Switzerland. I have a bet on the total. I have a bet on the total because that’s where the value was at the time of placing my bet.
I’m on over 2.5 goals at +152 odds on FanDuel sportsbook. This pick was found on the OddsJam Positive EV Betting Tool.
The odds for the o2.5 total goals betting market can be seen above. FanDuel is offering the best line at +152 odds. No other sportsbook is offering odds above +135. When I discuss finding value in betting markets, this is exactly what I’m talking about. The o2.5 at +152 odds on FanDuel beats the vig and is mathematically profitable (e.g. Positive EV).
Everything depends on price (e.g. the odds) as a sharp sports bettor. Do I like betting the o2.5 at +152 odds? Absolutely. Would I bet the o2.5 goals at +120 odds? Absolutely not. Why would I want to bet the o2.5 at +120 when other sportsbooks are offering a better line?
I locked this play in for the max I could, which was $131.60. As I always say, sportsbooks determine maximum bet sizes, not you. This is why sports betting is an awesome side hustle but very unattractive to do full-time. My betslip from FanDuel sportsbook is below. Best of luck if you tail it!
