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NFL

NFL Best Bets Week 7

<p>AP Photos</p>

AP Photos

Welcome back! It’s time to break down today’s NFL slate with the best bets and key insights you need. We’ll dive into each matchup, identify top players, and provide detailed analysis on why these bets make sense.

This guide will be easy to read, with bullet points highlighting the key points you’ll want to remember.

Let’s get into it!

1. Falcons vs. Seahawks

  • Suggested Bet: Falcons -3
    • Kirk Cousins is heating up: He’s leading the Falcons’ offense with efficiency, racking up points consistently. Atlanta has a clear advantage here, especially against a Seattle defense that has struggled mightily against the pass.
    • Key Player Prop: Kyle Pitts over 4.5 receptions
      • Seattle’s weakness against tight ends is well-documented, and Pitts has been one of Cousins’ go-to targets. Expect a high-volume passing attack to exploit this matchup.
    • Matchup Analysis:
      • The Seahawks are vulnerable defensively, ranking low in pass defense and allowing big games to QBs. Cousins’ form, combined with the Falcons’ weapons, makes Atlanta a strong pick today.

2. Bills vs. Titans

  • Suggested Bet: Teaser – Bills -3 & Under 47.5
    • Buffalo’s defense is strong: While Tennessee’s defense is respectable, their offense has been inconsistent. The Bills’ pass defense should limit the Titans’ aerial attack, making it difficult for Tennessee to keep pace.
    • Key Player Prop: Tony Pollard over 2.5 receptions
      • Buffalo has struggled against pass-catching RBs, and Pollard’s receiving role has been expanding. Look for him to get involved early and often.
    • Matchup Analysis:
      • The Bills’ offense has shown the ability to control games, but the line at -9.5 is too steep. Teasing the spread down to -3 gives Buffalo a more manageable number. With both teams fielding top-10 defenses, teasing the total to 47.5 makes the under more appealing.

3. Bengals vs. Browns

  • Suggested Bet: Bengals -5.5
    • Cincinnati’s bounce-back potential: After a tough loss to Baltimore, the Bengals are looking to get back on track against a Browns team struggling in most aspects. Cincinnati’s offense has a clear edge over Cleveland’s shaky defense.
    • Key Player Prop: Jamar Chase Anytime TD (+120)
      • Chase has been a TD machine recently, with 5 touchdowns in his last three games. Against a vulnerable Browns secondary, expect Burrow to target him heavily in the red zone.
    • Matchup Analysis:
      • The Bengals have put up 30+ points in three of their last four games, and Cleveland’s defense ranks in the bottom 10. This sets up nicely for Cincinnati to win by at least a touchdown.

4. Texans vs. Packers

  • Suggested Bet: Texans +3
    • Houston’s defense is underrated: The Texans have been solid against the pass and should be able to contain Jordan Love. With both teams dealing with injuries, this game is likely to be close, making the points valuable.
    • Matchup Analysis:
      • Houston’s defense has been impressive, ranking top 5 in passing yards allowed over the last three games. The Packers’ offense has struggled against solid defensive units, giving Houston the edge.

5. Colts vs. Dolphins

  • Suggested Bet: Colts -3
    • Indianapolis at home: The Colts have been strong against the spread (5-1 ATS this season) and face a Miami team that has struggled to find consistency.
    • Matchup Analysis:
      • With key players like Jonathan Taylor and Michael Pittman Jr. expected to play, the Colts’ offensive firepower should be enough to cover the spread against a weaker Miami defense.

6. Eagles vs. Giants

  • Suggested Bet: Eagles -3 & Team Total Over 22.5
    • Jalen Hurts to lead: Hurts has a favorable matchup against the Giants’ defense, which has been inconsistent throughout the season.
    • Key Player Prop: Jalen Hurts over 19.5 completions
      • Hurts has found rhythm with his receivers and should clear this mark against a leaky Giants secondary.
    • Matchup Analysis:
      • With A.J. Brown and DeVonta Smith healthy, the Eagles should be able to exploit mismatches. New York’s defense has been overrated in recent weeks, making this a strong spot for the Eagles.

7. 49ers vs. Chiefs

  • Suggested Bet: 49ers Moneyline
    • San Francisco’s home advantage: The 49ers are tough to beat at home, and injuries on the Chiefs’ offense give the 49ers an edge.
    • Key Player Prop: George Kittle Anytime TD
      • Kittle has been a focal point of the 49ers’ passing game, especially in the red zone. Kansas City’s defense has struggled against tight ends, setting up Kittle for a potential score.
    • Matchup Analysis:
      • San Francisco’s defense is among the league’s best, while Kansas City’s pass defense has been inconsistent. This sets up a strong case for the 49ers to win outright.

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