NFL Best Bets Week 6 Part 2

Welcome back! We’re diving into today’s NFL slate with a breakdown of the top bets that offer the best value. I’ve pulled together some of the most reliable options for today’s games, based on team trends, key matchups, and recent performances.

Each bet is explained thoroughly so you can see exactly why I’m backing it, and hopefully, this info helps you cash in!

Let’s get to it!

1. Travis Etienne (Jaguars) – Over 9.5 Rushing Attempts

• Suggested Bet: Over 9.5 Rushing Attempts (-132 FanDuel)
• Why: Etienne has been the lead back for Jacksonville, consistently surpassing this rushing attempt mark in 4 out of 5 games. Coming off a quiet game where he was banged up, the Jaguars still rely heavily on him, and this Bears defense ranks 18th against the run. Expect Jacksonville to lean on the ground game in London to counter the Bears’ strong pass defense.
• Key Insight:
  • Etienne averages 10.6 rush attempts per game.
  • Bears allow 25 rush attempts per game.

2. DJ Moore (Bears) – Over 64.5 Receiving Yards

• Suggested Bet: Over 64.5 Receiving Yards (-110 FanDuel)
• Why: DJ Moore is coming off a huge 105-yard game against the Panthers and faces a Jaguars secondary ranked dead last in the league, allowing nearly 288 passing yards per game. With Caleb Williams targeting Moore often, this is a favorable matchup for the Bears’ top receiver.
• Key Insight:
  • Jaguars allow 287.4 passing yards per game (32nd in NFL).
  • Moore has a 26.1% target share and should exploit a weak pass defense.

3. Lamar Jackson (Ravens) – Over 49.5 Rushing Yards

• Suggested Bet: Over 49.5 Rushing Yards (-145 DraftKings)
• Why: Lamar has hit this mark in 4 out of 5 games this season, averaging over 72 rushing yards per game. Washington struggles to defend mobile QBs, and Jackson’s dual-threat ability should be in full display against this defense, which ranks 22nd against the run.
• Key Insight:
  • Jackson averages 10 rushing attempts per game.
  • Commanders allow 130 rushing yards per game (22nd).

4. Austin Ekeler (Chargers) – Over 22.5 Receiving Yards

• Suggested Bet: Over 22.5 Receiving Yards (-113 FanDuel)
• Why: Without Brian Robinson, the Commanders will rely on Ekeler as their primary weapon. The Ravens rank 23rd in the league for receiving yards allowed to running backs, making this a prime opportunity for Ekeler to hit the over in a game where he’ll be leaned on more heavily.
• Key Insight:
  • Ravens allow 36.4 receiving yards per game to RBs.
  • Ekeler averages 37.75 receiving yards per game.

5. Saquon Barkley (Giants) – Over 79.5 Rushing Yards

• Suggested Bet: Over 79.5 Rushing Yards (-148 FanDuel)
• Why: Barkley has exceeded this mark in all four games this season. The Browns’ run defense ranks 25th in the NFL, allowing over 140 yards per game. With the return of Devonta Smith and AJ Brown to the Eagles’ offense, it will open up even more running lanes for Barkley to dominate on the ground.
• Key Insight:
  • Barkley averages 18 carries per game.
  • Browns allow 141.5 rushing yards per game.

6. James Conner (Cardinals) – Over 79.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards

• Suggested Bet: Over 79.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards (-140 FanDuel)
• Why: James Conner has hit this mark in 4 of 5 games, and the Packers are vulnerable both on the ground and through the air to running backs. Conner should see a steady workload in both phases against a team giving up 92 rushing and 41 receiving yards per game to RBs.
• Key Insight:
  • Packers rank 25th in receiving yards allowed to RBs.

7. Kyler Murray (Cardinals) – Over 0.5 Interceptions

• Suggested Bet: Over 0.5 Interceptions (-128 FanDuel)
• Why: Kyler has thrown picks in two of his last three games, and the Packers defense is aggressive, ranking 2nd in the NFL in interceptions forced. In a game where Arizona might be playing from behind, expect Kyler to take chances that could lead to turnovers.
• Key Insight:
  • Packers force nearly two interceptions per game.

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Good luck on today’s bets, and remember to always shop for the best odds to maximize your value!