NFL Best Bets Ravens vs Bucs Monday Night Football

It’s another big night in the NFL as the Ravens take on the Buccaneers for Monday Night Football. With both teams coming in with solid records and plenty of talent on both sides of the ball, there’s a lot to unpack.

In this article, I’ll dive deep into tonight’s matchups, offer key insights on each best bet, and outline why each player or team bet stands out.

Let’s get into the action!

Best Bets Breakdown

1. Baker Mayfield Over 256.5 Passing Yards

• Suggested Bet: Over 256.5 Passing Yards
• Analysis:
  • Mayfield has been surprisingly efficient this season, ranking 4th in completion percentage and 2nd in QBR.
  • Baltimore’s defense has been solid, but their weak spot has been through the air, especially against top-tier QBs.
  • The Ravens allow the second-most passing yards per game, creating a great opportunity for Baker.
  • Mayfield has surpassed 256 passing yards in five of his last six home games, which bodes well for tonight.
• Key Insight: With the Bucs relying more on their passing game, expect Mayfield to push for over 250 yards.

2. Lamar Jackson Over 0.5 Passing TDs (Sleeper)

• Suggested Bet: Over 0.5 Passing Yards (Sleeper’s Free Square)
• Analysis:
  • While the Bucs’ defense is aggressive with a high blitz rate, they often fail to finish plays, leaving opportunities for Jackson.
  • Jackson’s completion rate drops under pressure, but he can still exploit the Bucs’ zone-heavy scheme for quick scores.
  • Tampa’s defensive focus on stopping the run could create better passing lanes for Jackson, making this line easy value.
• Key Insight: Even in a tough matchup, Jackson has enough tools to deliver at least one passing touchdown.

3. Kade Otton Over 3.5 Receptions

• Suggested Bet: Over 3.5 Receptions
• Analysis:
  • Baltimore has struggled against tight ends this season, allowing the second-most receiving yards to the position.
  • Otton’s involvement has increased lately, averaging 6 targets over the last four games.
  • With Mike Evans’ status uncertain, Otton could see even more targets, especially in key red zone and 3rd down situations.
• Key Insight: Given the Ravens’ issues defending tight ends, Otton is positioned to hit this mark.

4. Derrick Henry Anytime TD (+115)

• Suggested Bet: Derrick Henry Anytime TD
• Analysis:
  • Henry remains a key component of the Ravens’ offense, and he’s been a consistent threat against defenses that allow chunk plays.
  • Tampa Bay has struggled against power running backs, giving up big games to guys like Saquon Barkley and David Montgomery.
  • Baltimore’s offense will likely lean on Henry to control the pace, especially in the red zone.
• Key Insight: Expect Baltimore to rely on Henry to find the end zone and keep the Bucs’ defense on its heels.

5. Buccaneers +3.5

• Suggested Bet: Buccaneers +3.5
• Analysis:
  • Tampa Bay is coming off a 51-point offensive explosion, bringing momentum into this game.
  • The Ravens are the better team on paper, but the Bucs’ home-field advantage and Mayfield’s strong play give them a shot to keep it close.
  • Tampa’s defense has held up well against strong offenses, which could be enough to cover the spread, especially at home.
• Key Insight: Back the Bucs to keep it within a field goal, especially if Evans plays.

6. Game Total Over 49.5 Points

• Suggested Bet: Over 49.5 Points
• Analysis:
  • Both offenses have the potential to put up points, and both defenses have exploitable matchups, creating a recipe for a shootout.
  • The Ravens’ run-heavy offense will help control the clock, but Tampa’s explosive plays and reliance on the pass game can quickly raise the score.
  • Even with solid defensive rankings, these teams’ strengths favor a higher total.
• Key Insight: Bet on both offenses to deliver, pushing this game past the 49.5-point mark.

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