NFL Best Bets Chargers vs Cardinals Monday Night Football

Week 7 of the NFL season is here, and we’ve got some intriguing matchups lined up for today’s slate. The action is heating up, and so are the opportunities to cash in with some strong bets.

We’ll break down the best bets for this slate, analyzing the key matchups and explaining why each bet makes sense. Let’s dive into the picks and strategies that could bring home a win!

Best Bets for Today’s NFL Slate

1. Kyler Murray Over 211.5 Passing Yards

• Bet: Kyler Murray Over 211.5 Passing Yards
• Analysis:
  • Kyler Murray has been efficient against zone coverage, ranking top 5 in completion percentage and accuracy against it.
  • The Chargers run one of the highest rates of zone defense in the league, setting up a favorable situation for Murray.
  • The Chargers have struggled against elite QBs, allowing substantial passing yardage to the likes of Josh Allen, Jared Goff, and even Bo Nix.
  • Key Insight: Murray has surpassed this line in 3 of 6 games this season, often coming close when he falls short. His consistency against zone coverage and the Chargers’ reliance on it make this a strong bet.

2. Justin Herbert Over 255.5 Passing Yards

• Bet: Justin Herbert Over 255.5 Passing Yards
• Analysis:
  • Herbert faces an Arizona defense ranked 28th in passing DVOA, which has been torched by QBs this season.
  • While Arizona has faced tough competition (Allen, Goff, Stafford), Herbert is expected to capitalize on a defense that ranks poorly in completion percentage allowed.
  • Despite injury concerns, Herbert has been averaging over 250 passing yards per game and should find success against this inconsistent secondary.
  • Key Insight: Arizona’s defense struggles against play-action and deep passes, both of which are strengths for Herbert.

3. J.K. Dobbins Anytime TD

• Bet: J.K. Dobbins Anytime Touchdown
• Analysis:
  • Dobbins leads the Ravens’ backfield and faces a Chargers defense ranked 20th against RBs in rushing TDs allowed.
  • He’s averaged 20+ carries over the past two games, indicating heavy usage, particularly in the red zone.
  • Dobbins has scored in 3 of his last 5 games, making him a solid bet to punch one in.
  • Key Insight: With Gus Edwards out and minimal competition for carries, Dobbins is the clear red-zone favorite.

4. Trey McBride Over 51.5 Receiving Yards

• Bet: Trey McBride Over 51.5 Receiving Yards
• Analysis:
  • McBride has emerged as a primary target for Kyler Murray, averaging 8 targets and 9.3 yards per reception over the past few weeks.
  • The Chargers have allowed the 26th most receiving yards to tight ends this season, making this a promising matchup.
  • McBride’s route volume and role as a safety valve for Murray add to his potential to hit this over.
  • Key Insight: With the Chargers focusing on stopping deep passes, McBride should see plenty of intermediate targets, making this a strong bet.

5. Cardinals +2.5 (Underdog Play)

• Bet: Arizona Cardinals +2.5
• Analysis:
  • The Cardinals, despite a 2-4 record, have faced the toughest schedule in the NFL, battling top-tier offenses and defenses.
  • Kyler Murray’s ability to exploit zone defenses, combined with a relatively healthy roster, makes this an ideal spot to back Arizona as a home underdog.
  • Key Insight: The Chargers’ defense has not been tested consistently against mobile QBs, and Murray’s dual-threat ability adds unpredictability to this matchup.

6. Game Total Over 44 Points

• Bet: Over 44 Total Points
• Analysis:
  • Both teams have shown offensive potential, with the Cardinals capable of scoring big against weaker defenses, and the Chargers often involved in high-scoring games.
  • The potential for quick scores and big plays from both sides sets the stage for an over-friendly game.
  • Key Insight: With the Cardinals needing to air it out to stay competitive and the Chargers leaning on Herbert’s arm, expect points to accumulate quickly.

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