First Touchdown Scorer NFL Bets Today: Who Scores First in this Offense Heavy Matchup?

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Andrew CunninghamSeptember 18, 2022 at 04:00 AM

Assuming you bet $50 a unit and one unit on each first TD scorer bet, we’re up $175 on the season betting First TD Scorers! We look to continue this success today as we look to predict the first touchdown scorer of this week’s Thursday Night Football matchup.

There are a lot of moving parts and variables when it comes to betting on an NFL first TD scorer. I am always looking at three things before I make a pick like this: which team is most likely to score first, who are the most likely targets in the red zone for that team, and what is the QB’s history in the red zone?

Chargers vs. Chiefs First TD Scorer Pick: Juju Smith-Schuster | +1000 at FanDuel

Thursday, Sept. 15 | 8:15 p.m. ET

Which Team Will Score First?

We’re back and ready to cash in on the first TD scorer for this week’s Thursday Night Football matchup between the Los Angeles Chargers and Kansas City Chiefs. As always, before we can even begin to talk about which individual is going to score first, we have to talk about which team is going to score first.

Last season, the Chiefs scored the first touchdown in 12 of their games. This comes out to a ridiculous 71% of their games last season. One of the games they didn’t score the first TD came against none other than… the Los Angeles Chargers. I don’t expect history to repeat itself today. The Chiefs are at home in Kansas City and they have something to prove after last season. I look for them to score the first TD this go around.

Patrick Mahomes Targets

Here’s the problem with a gifted QB such as Mahomes – he has his favorite targets in the game as a whole, but when it comes to kicking off the scoring party, it’s all about who is open near the endzone.

The books have Travis Kelce as the most likely to score the first touchdown and for good reason. However, they want you to take that bet. I expect the Chargers to be all over Kelce after his stellar performance in the season opener.

Instead, I look for Mahomes to be targeting Juju Smith-Schuster. Schuster is a new addition to the Chiefs roster and Mahomes targeted him eight times for 6 completions and 76 yards. Look for that number to rise this game and for Schuster to be the target for the first TD of the game.

First Touchdown Scorer

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What is an NFL First TD Scorer?

An NFL first TD scorer is, very simply, betting on the first player in a game to score a touchdown. Since there are a lot of possibilities for who could score the first touchdown in any given NFL game, a first TD scorer bet can be hard to predict.

Because of this, the odds for an NFL first TD scorer market are generally high. This gives many opportunities to line shop and find value.

Click here to shop for the best NFL odds with OddsJam’s odd comparison tool.

How to Bet on an NFL First TD Scorer

On your own, finding an NFL first TD scorer bet that is valuable can be very difficult. You have to look at the odds at all the sportsbooks, look at historical data and current season data.

With OddsJam, the process actually becomes really simple! All you have to do is go to the NFL game page, pick a game, switch the market to first TD scorer and find the most valuable line compared to the OddsJam Perfect Line!

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