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NCAAF

College Football Best Bets Week 5

<p>AP Photos</p>

AP Photos

Welcome to our College Football Best Bets for today’s slate! We’ve done our homework, broken down the matchups, and highlighted the best plays to help you maximize your returns. Today’s slate features some intriguing games with key spots to target.

Let’s dive into the matchups and why each team or player is a top bet for today’s action.

1. Miami Hurricanes (-18.5) vs. Virginia Tech Hokies

  • Suggested Bet: Miami -18.5
  • Analysis:
    • Miami is rolling through their schedule with a 4-0 record, covering the spread in each of those games.
    • The Hurricanes boast a top-10 defense, allowing just 10.2 points per game, while Virginia Tech struggles to keep up offensively with a 75th-ranked scoring offense.
    • Virginia Tech’s defense has been a weak point, especially against the run, ranking 105th nationally, giving up 181 rushing yards per game. Miami’s balanced offense should have no problem exploiting this and building a lead early.

2. Baylor Bears (-3) vs. BYU Cougars

  • Suggested Bet: Baylor -3
  • Analysis:
    • Baylor is looking for a bounce-back game after a tough loss against Colorado. Despite that setback, Baylor has shown solid defensive metrics, ranking 33rd in scoring defense.
    • BYU is coming off a major upset against Kansas State, making this a classic “letdown spot.” The public is all over BYU, but the sharp money is leaning heavily on Baylor.
    • Baylor’s defense should be able to contain BYU’s offense, making this a low-scoring affair where Baylor covers the 3 points.

3. Nebraska Cornhuskers (-10) vs. Purdue Boilermakers

  • Suggested Bet: Nebraska -10
  • Analysis:
    • Nebraska’s defense and improved offensive scheme under head coach Matt Rhule should bounce back against a struggling Purdue team.
    • Purdue’s defense is atrocious, especially against the run, giving up 181 rushing yards per game. Nebraska’s rushing attack should have a field day.
    • Purdue has covered the spread in just 22.2% of their last 9 games as an underdog, making Nebraska the sharp play.

4. Over 55.5 in the Oklahoma State vs. Kansas State Game

  • Suggested Bet: Over 55.5 Points
  • Analysis:
    • Both teams have exploitable defensive weaknesses that can lead to a high-scoring affair. Kansas State’s potent rushing attack should thrive against Oklahoma State’s porous run defense.
    • Oklahoma State’s passing game is one of the best in the nation, and Kansas State’s secondary has been exposed in recent games.
    • With both teams likely to score on multiple possessions, the over is the sharp side here.

5. Minnesota Golden Gophers (+9.5) vs. Michigan Wolverines

  • Suggested Bet: Minnesota +9.5
  • Analysis:
    • Minnesota has one of the best passing defenses in the country, giving up just 99.5 passing yards per game.
    • Michigan is coming off a big win against USC, but they still have major question marks at the quarterback position.
    • Expect a low-scoring game with Minnesota’s defense keeping them within the spread.

6. UCF Knights (-13.5) vs. Colorado Buffaloes

  • Suggested Bet: UCF -13.5
  • Analysis:
    • UCF’s top-ranked rushing attack should dominate a Colorado defense that has struggled to stop the run all season.
    • Deion Sanders’ team is 1-8 straight up as an underdog in his tenure, and UCF should have no problem controlling the pace and covering the spread.
    • This is a perfect spot to fade the public hype around Colorado and trust UCF to win comfortably.

7. UNC Tar Heels (+125 Moneyline) vs. Duke Blue Devils

  • Suggested Bet: UNC Moneyline +125
  • Analysis:
    • UNC has owned this rivalry, winning the last five matchups against Duke.
    • The public is heavily backing Duke, but the sharp money is leaning towards UNC in a bounce-back spot after a poor showing last week.
    • Look for UNC to reassert their dominance and pull off the win as a road underdog.

8. Under 55.5 in the UNC vs. Duke Game

  • Suggested Bet: Under 55.5 Points
  • Analysis:
    • Duke’s defense is solid, ranking 28th nationally, while UNC’s offense has been inconsistent.
    • With a rivalry game atmosphere and both teams likely focusing on ball control, expect a low-scoring, grind-it-out affair.

9. Notre Dame Fighting Irish (-5.5) vs. Louisville Cardinals

  • Suggested Bet: Notre Dame -5.5
  • Analysis:
    • Louisville’s high-scoring offense hasn’t faced a defense like Notre Dame’s yet this season. Expect the Irish’s defense to set the tone early.
    • Notre Dame has covered in 3 out of their 4 games this year, and with a focus on playoff positioning, they’ll be motivated to put on a dominant performance.

10. Georgia Bulldogs (-125 Moneyline) vs. Alabama Crimson Tide

  • Suggested Bet: Georgia Moneyline -125
  • Analysis:
    • The data is overwhelmingly in favor of Georgia in these top-5 matchups. Historically, top-5 home underdogs like Alabama are just 18-53 straight up in these spots.
    • With a stronger defense and a more stable quarterback situation, Georgia is the play here.

Final Thoughts

These are our best bets for today’s college football slate.

Make sure to shop for the best lines and use Oddsjam to maximize your potential returns.

Stay disciplined, and good luck with your bets!

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