NBA Best Bets Friday 11/1/24

Welcome to today’s NBA Best Bets breakdown! We’ve got nine games on the slate, and I’m here to dig into each matchup, giving you key insights, best bets, and player props to maximize your chances.

Let’s keep it simple and actionable with some expert picks and quick insights into why these are the top bets for tonight’s games.

Game 1: Charlotte Hornets vs. Boston Celtics

• Suggested Bet: Under 232 Total Points
• Why: Boston’s offense thrives on three-point shooting, and Charlotte’s defense has surprisingly been effective at limiting opponents’ three-point percentage, allowing just 31.3% from deep. The Celtics may struggle to get open looks from three, while Charlotte’s offense is also streaky and prone to cold spells. With Boston’s solid defense and Charlotte’s situational advantages in guarding the perimeter, this game could fall short of the 232-point mark.

Game 2: Detroit Pistons vs. New York Knicks

• Suggested Bet: Jalen Duren Over 10 Points and 10 Rebounds (+120 to record a double-double)
• Why: Duren has been a beast on the boards, averaging 16.2 rebound chances per game, and he’s converted over 50% of these chances. Detroit’s offense may not be elite, but New York has shown vulnerabilities in the paint, allowing a 73% field goal percentage around the rim. Look for Duren to take advantage and secure another double-double tonight.

Game 3: Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Orlando Magic

• Suggested Bet: Dean Wade Over 5.5 Points (-120)
• Why: Wade fits well against Orlando’s defense, which struggles with corner threes. Wade takes the majority of his shots from the corners, which could yield easy buckets. He’s capable of hitting two quick threes to exceed this line, making it a smart low-risk play if you’re looking to add some value.

Game 4: Atlanta Hawks vs. Sacramento Kings

• Suggested Bet: Sacramento Kings -6.5
• Why: Atlanta has struggled defensively, and Sacramento’s top-10 efficiency on both sides of the ball gives them an edge. This game is expected to be high-paced, but with Atlanta’s weak defense, Sacramento’s balanced playstyle should allow them to cover comfortably.

Game 5: Toronto Raptors vs. Los Angeles Lakers

• Suggested Bet: Toronto Raptors +8.5
• Why: The Raptors may not match the Lakers in star power, but they have consistently covered the spread this season (4-1 ATS). Toronto’s gritty defense around the paint could keep this one close, even if they can’t pull out the win. Lakers are on a two-game skid on the road, which makes the Raptors’ spread a worthwhile play tonight.

Game 6: Chicago Bulls vs. Brooklyn Nets

• Suggested Bet: Chicago Bulls +1.5 and Under 226 Total Points
• Why: Chicago’s defense has been more efficient than the overall points allowed would suggest, due to a fast pace that inflates scores. Brooklyn is also inconsistent offensively. Look for the Bulls to cover as well as keep this game lower-scoring.

Game 7: New Orleans Pelicans vs. Indiana Pacers

• Suggested Bet: Indiana Pacers -4
• Why: The Pelicans are plagued with injuries, lacking key contributors like CJ McCollum. This leaves Zion Williamson and Brandon Ingram to carry a lot of weight without much help. Indiana should capitalize on this, especially if Turner is back in the lineup, adding much-needed defensive reinforcement.

Game 8: Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Denver Nuggets

• Suggested Bet: Minnesota Timberwolves -4.5
• Why: Denver has struggled defensively and recently went to two overtime games, which could lead to fatigue. Minnesota, with its strong interior presence, should exploit Denver’s defensive gaps and pull ahead by the fourth quarter.

Game 9: Portland Trail Blazers vs. Oklahoma City Thunder

• Suggested Bet: Oklahoma City Thunder -11.5
• Why: OKC’s defense has been outstanding, holding opponents to low shooting percentages, especially around the rim. Portland’s offense hasn’t been able to break the 110-point barrier in most games, so expect the Thunder to control this game and cover the spread.

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