MLB Run Line Picks Today – Twins vs. Brewers Run Line Bet: Brewers Have the Advantage in this Pitching Matchup

Minnesota Twins vs. Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview

2:10 p.m. ET

Today the biggest pitching mismatch goes in favor of the Milwaukee Brewers. The Twins will send out veteran Chris Archer who is coming in today with two wins and four losses with an ERA of 3.41 The worst is yet to come for Chris archer as he has an expected ERA of 4.82.

This higher expected ERA is stemming from his slider. Being his favorite pitch throws it over 43% of the time for a .184 Average against but, with an expected batting average against this pitch specifically of .242.

His second favorite pitch is his four-seam fastball, which he throws over 38% of the time and has a batting average of .311 with an expected batting average of slightly worse at .322.

The Brewers will counter with their ace in Corbin Burnes coming into today Corbin Burnes is 7-4 with a 2.2 ERA. Burnes’s main three pitches are a cutter, curveball, and slider.

These three are all being hit for below .200 averages. with these pitches being so dominant, this has given him an expected ERA of 2.82 which ranks him in the 88th percentile in the MLB.

With the Twins being 5-2 in their last seven meetings against the Brewers, we look to see the Brewers flip the trend here with their ace on the hill. Take the Brewers on the run line today backing Burnes.

Twins vs. Brewers Run Line Pick: Brewers Run Line -1.5 | -135 at DraftKings Sportsbook