MLB Run Line Picks Today – Royals vs. Twins Run Line Bet August 15, 2022: Can Twins Get Back on Track?

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Royals vs. Twins Betting Preview

7:40 p.m. ET

Today the biggest pitching mismatch goes in favor of the Minnesota Twins.

The Kansas City Royals will send out 24-year-old Kris Bubic. Coming into today Bubic is just 2–6 with a 5.02 ERA. The worst has yet to come for Bubic as his expected ERA is 5.95.

This places him firmly in the bottom 8% of the league. Bubic’s unsuccessful 2022 season has stemmed from his four-seam fastball. Throwing it over 52% of the time, he has allowed hitters to slash for a .329 average off of it.

Throwing this fastball over half of the time has made Bubic ranked poorly and in a lot of major pitching categories as well. Bubic ranks in the 9th percentile in expected batting average against with a .276 batting average against.

He also ranks in the 8th percentile in hard-hit percentage, and lastly the 28th percentile in average exit velocity. This all displays that when Bubic does get hit, it is for significant contact.

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The Minnesota Twins will counter with Joe Ryan coming into today Ryan is 8–5 with a 3.95 ERA. Unlike Bubic, Ryan’s four-seam fastball is spectacular throwing it over 58% of the time hitters have only managed to hit for a .187 average off of it.

With the pitching mismatch being largely in favor of the Twins. We will pair it with the fact that the Kansas City Royals are 3-9 in the last 12 games on the road while the Twins are 12-2 in the last 14 games on a Monday. Take the Twins on the run line today.

Royals vs. Twins Run Line Pick: -1.5 | +100 at DraftKings

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