MLB Run Line Picks Today – Rockies vs. Mets Run Line Bet: A Hot Team Versus a Bad Pitcher

OddsJam’s MLB expert @ShayneTrail dives into the top run line pick he’s eyeing. Find his bet and prediction below.

Rockies vs. Mets Betting Odds

7:10 p.m. ET

Today the biggest pitching mismatch goes in favor of the New York Mets. The Rockies will send out Chad Kuhl who is one of the worst starting pitchers in baseball. Coming into today Kuhl is 6-7 with a 5.16 ERA paired with a 1.52 WHIP.

Unfortunately, for Kuhl, his most thrown pitch is his worst performing pitch he’s throwing the sinker over 42% of the time and is allowing hitters to slash for a .373 average against it. This makes his sinker one of the worst sinkers. in baseball.

Now throwing such a poor-performing pitch so often has also made him rank poorly in some other major pitching categories. Kuhl ranks in the bottom 13% in average exit velocity, and in the bottom 14th% in expected batting average against. This season so far for Kuhl has been one he would like to forget.

The Mets will counter with Chris Bassitt. Coming into today Bassitt is 11-7 with a 3.26 ERA. Bassitt ranks amongst the best when it comes to average exit velocity ranking in the 95th percentile. Bassitt is also performing well in the hard contact category ranking in the top 10% of baseball.

This shows when hitters do make contact off Bassitt it’s nothing near significant. Look for these Mets hitters to jump all over Kuhl’s sinker at home today. Take the New York Mets on the run line to cover with ease.

Rockies vs. Mets Run Line Pick: Mets -1.5 | -130 at DraftKings