MLB Run Line Picks Today – Rockies vs. Brewers Run Line Bet

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Rockies vs. Brewers Betting Preview

8:10 p.m. ET

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The most significant pitching mismatch today comes in favor of the Milwaukee Brewers. Antonio Senzatela comes in today at 3-5 with a 4.95 ERA. this worst has yet to come for Senzstela as he has an xERA just below 6.00 at 5.93.

This places him firmly in the bottom 4% of the league. this xERA is stemming from a few categories he ranks poorly in as well. Senzatela holds a xBA of.328 which is bottom 1% of the league. He throws two pitches 83.4% of the time his fastball and his slider. They both are being hit for .385 and .415 averages, making them one of the worst two-pitch combos for a starting pitcher.

The Brewers will counter with their ace and Cy Young candidate in Corbin Burnes. Unlike Senztela, Burnes has been nothing less than dominant in 2022. Ranking near the top in every category, he holds xERA of 2.68 which is in the top 10% of the League and places him in the 90th percentile. His whiff rate is what makes him so effective. He holds a 98th percentile whiff rate.

With the Rockies being just 3-9 in their last 12 games when playing on the road against the Brewers, bet on this trend to continue today fading Antiono Senztela. Take the Brewers on the run line today. 

Rockies vs. Brewers Run Line Pick: Brewers -1.5 | -130 at DraftKings

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