MLB Run Line Picks Today – Rangers vs. White Sox Run Line Bet: Cease Will Roll against Rangers

OddsJam’s MLB expert @ShayneTrail dives into the top run line pick he’s eyeing. Find his bet and prediction below.

Rangers vs. White Sox Betting Preview

8:05 p.m. ET

Today, the biggest pitching mismatch comes in favor of the Chicago White Sox.

The Texas Rangers will send out a 5th-round pick in Glenn Otto. Coming into today Otto is 4-7 with a 5.50 ERA. Sadly, Otto’s 5.50 is true, as he has an expected ERA of 5.63.

His slider is the second most thrown pitch in his arsenal, throwing it 23.8% of the time. This pitch is also his worst thrown pitch as hitters have slashed for a .290 average. This pitch has resulted in Otto ranking poorly in a lot of major pitching categories.

Otto ranks in the 29^th percentile in xERA, the 14th percentile in Barrel %, and the 11^th percentile in SLG%.

The White Sox will counter with Dylan Cease. Coming into today, Cease is 11-4 with a 2.01 ERA. Cease has been nothing short of amazing this season.

His xERA is in the top 9% of the league at 2.68. Cease also holds an amazing xBA of .187 which places him firmly in the 94^th percentile in the majors. His best pitch is also his most thrown pitch, throwing a slider 42% of the time. Hitters have only hit for a .122 average against his slider in 2022. 

The Rangers are 2-10 straight up in their last 12 home games played on a Friday. On top of this, the Texas is 3-9 in their last 12 games at home regardless of the day.

We will ride these trends again today with the significant pitching mismatch in Glenn Otto vs. Dylan Cease. Take the Chicago White Sox on the run line today to cover with ease.

Rangers vs. White Sox Pick: White Sox -1.5 | -120 at DraftKings