MLB Run Line Picks Today – Dodgers vs. Cardinals Run Line Bet: L.A. Benefits From Pitcher Mismatch

Dodgers vs. Cardinals Betting Preview

7:10 p.m. ET

The biggest pitcher mismatch today is in favor of the Los Angeles Dodgers. Cardinals pitcher Dakota Hudson has become a regular. Coming into today at 6-5 with a 4.00 ERA, the worst has yet to come for him.

Hudson owns an xERA of even worse at 5.24. This is due to his xBA of .303, which ranks in the bottom 4% of the league. Hudson lacks the ability to get hitters out on his own. He owns a 13.3 K rate, which also ranks poorly in the bottom 4% of the league.

His fastball — which he tosses over 35% of the time — is being smashed for a .312 average. 

After an amazing ninth-inning comeback win yesterday, the Dodgers will counter with Tyler Anderson. Having an excellent year so far, he owns a 9-1 record with a 1.03 WHIP. 

Anderson ranks in the 92nd percentile in average exit velocity. That shows that when he is hit, the ball is hit very weakly. His put-away pitch this year has been extremely proficient with a 24% putaway rate and a 40% whiff rate — hitters are only hitting for a lousy .165 average. 

The Cardinals come into today as an underdog, when they are a dog they are just 5-15 straight up in their last 20 games. Bet on this loaded Dodgers lineup to jump on Dakota Hudson early.

Take the Dodgers today on the run line. 

Dodgers vs. Cardinals Run Line Pick: Dodgers -1.5 | +100 at DraftKings