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MLB

MLB Preview Sunday 7/7/24

<p>AP Photos</p>

AP Photos

Welcome to today’s MLB preview! We’ve got a packed slate with plenty of intriguing matchups. Our focus today is primarily on the pitching, as we’ll save the hitters and top stacks for later.

Let’s break down each game, analyzing the pitching matchups and overall game outlook to give you a solid foundation for your DFS lineups.


St. Louis Cardinals vs. Washington Nationals – 1:35 PM EDT – Nationals Park

Pitching Matchup:

  • St. Louis: Kyle Gibson (RHP)
    • ERA: 4.41, K%: 20%, BB%: 8%
  • Washington: DJ Herz (LHP)
    • ERA: 5.48, K%: 27%, BB%: 7%

Game Insight:

  • Gibson is a ground ball pitcher with decent strikeout ability but allows a high hard contact rate (32%).
  • Herz strikes out batters at a high rate but struggles with consistency and control.
  • The Nationals have struggled against right-handers with a .300 team wOBA.
  • The Cardinals have a .314 team wOBA against left-handers, suggesting a favorable matchup against Herz.

New York Mets vs. Pittsburgh Pirates – 1:35 PM EDT – PNC Park

Pitching Matchup:

  • New York: Sean Manaea (LHP)
    • ERA: 4.22, K%: 25%, BB%: 9%
  • Pittsburgh: Luis Ortiz (RHP)
    • ERA: 4.19, K%: 16%, BB%: 11%

Game Insight:

  • Manaea is a solid strikeout pitcher but can be prone to giving up hard contact.
  • Ortiz has struggled with command, making him a risky option.
  • The Mets have a potent offense against righties with a .331 team wOBA.
  • Pirates’ offense has been inconsistent, with a .292 team wOBA against lefties.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves – 1:35 PM EDT – Truist Park

Pitching Matchup:

Game Insight:

  • Mercado is a wild card with impressive strikeout ability but very limited data.
  • Lopez is a solid pitcher with a strong strikeout rate and decent control.
  • Phillies have a .322 team wOBA against righties, making this a challenging matchup for Lopez.
  • Braves are strong against right-handed pitchers with a .303 team wOBA.

Chicago White Sox vs. Miami Marlins – 1:40 PM EDT – LoanDepot Park

Pitching Matchup:

Game Insight:

  • Cannon is a contact pitcher with a low strikeout rate but good control.
  • Cabrera has electric stuff but struggles with command, leading to a high walk rate.
  • White Sox offense has been average against righties with a .285 team wOBA.
  • Marlins have one of the weakest offenses against righties, sporting a .286 team wOBA.

San Francisco Giants vs. Cleveland Guardians – 1:40 PM EDT – Progressive Field

Pitching Matchup:

Game Insight:

  • Birdsong struggles with control and gives up a high hard contact rate (36%).
  • Carrasco is in the twilight of his career and has been inconsistent.
  • Giants have a solid offense against right-handers with a .308 team wOBA.
  • Guardians are good against righties with a .317 team wOBA, potentially capitalizing on Birdsong’s control issues.

Detroit Tigers vs. Cincinnati Reds – 1:40 PM EDT – Great American Ball Park

Pitching Matchup:

Game Insight:

  • Skubal is an elite strikeout pitcher with excellent control, making him a top option.
  • Ashcraft struggles with consistency and allows a high hard contact rate (30%).
  • Tigers are mediocre against righties with a .297 team wOBA.
  • Reds have been better against lefties with a .302 team wOBA.

Houston Astros vs. Minnesota Twins – 2:10 PM EDT – Target Field

Pitching Matchup:

Game Insight:

  • Arrighetti has good strikeout ability but struggles with control.
  • Woods Richardson is more reliable with solid control and an average strikeout rate.
  • Astros have a balanced offense against righties with a .325 team wOBA.
  • Twins are solid against right-handers with a .320 team wOBA.

Los Angeles Angels vs. Chicago Cubs – 2:20 PM EDT – Wrigley Field

Pitching Matchup:

Game Insight:

  • Soriano is a solid mid-tier option with decent strikeout potential.
  • Wesneski has been consistent but gives up a fair amount of hard contact (33%).
  • Angels’ offense is average against righties with a .301 team wOBA.
  • Cubs are better against right-handed pitchers with a .306 team wOBA.

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Texas Rangers – 2:35 PM EDT – Globe Life Field

Pitching Matchup:

Game Insight:

  • Littell is a control pitcher with low strikeout upside.
  • Eovaldi is a solid pitcher with a good strikeout rate and ground ball rate (50%).
  • Rays are decent against righties with a .303 team wOBA.
  • Rangers have a balanced offense with a .295 team wOBA against righties.

Kansas City Royals vs. Colorado Rockies – 3:10 PM EDT – Coors Field

Pitching Matchup:

Game Insight:

  • Singer is a ground ball pitcher but struggles with consistency.
  • Gordon is an unknown factor, which adds risk to this matchup.
  • Royals have a .316 team wOBA against right-handers, favorable for this matchup.
  • Rockies thrive at home with a .310 team wOBA against righties.

Baltimore Orioles vs. Oakland Athletics – 4:07 PM EDT – Oakland Coliseum

Pitching Matchup:

Game Insight:

  • Rodriguez is a solid young pitcher with good strikeout ability.
  • Spence is reliable but doesn’t offer much upside.
  • Orioles are strong against righties with a .339 team wOBA.
  • Athletics have a weak offense with a .305 team wOBA against righties.

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Mariners – 4:10 PM EDT – T-Mobile Park

Pitching Matchup:

Game Insight:

  • Berrios is a solid mid-tier option with decent strikeout potential.
  • Kirby has elite control and good strikeout ability, making him a strong option.
  • Blue Jays have a balanced offense against righties with a .308 team wOBA.
  • Mariners are average against right-handers with a .300 team wOBA.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres – 4:10 PM EDT – Petco Park

Pitching Matchup:

Game Insight:

  • Nelson struggles with strikeouts and gives up a high hard contact rate (37%).
  • Cease is an elite strikeout pitcher with occasional control issues.
  • Diamondbacks are average against right-handers with a .310 team wOBA.
  • Padres have a solid offense with a .339 team wOBA against righties.

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers – 4:10 PM EDT – Dodger Stadium

Pitching Matchup:

Game Insight:

  • Keuchel has struggled mightily, making him a risky option.
  • Wrobleski is an unknown factor, which adds risk to this matchup.
  • Brewers are decent against lefties with a .337 team wOBA.
  • Dodgers have a potent offense with a .326 team wOBA against lefties.

Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees – 7:10 PM EDT – Yankee Stadium

Pitching Matchup:

Game Insight:

  • Crawford is a solid mid-tier option with good strikeout potential.
  • Gil has elite strikeout ability but struggles with control.
  • Red Sox have a .337 team wOBA against right-handers.
  • Yankees have a potent offense with a .339 team wOBA against righties.

Stay tuned for our follow-up article where we’ll dive into the top hitters and stacks for today’s slate. Good luck with your lineups!

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