Yankees Offense: Averaging 5.16 runs/game, strong against RHP with a .339 wOBA.
Red Sox Offense: Averaging 3.84 runs/game, solid against RHP with a .337 wOBA.
Cole has been dominant, but the Yankees’ lineup has been inconsistent. The Red Sox will have a tough time against Cole, but Winckowski’s high groundball rate could keep the game close.
Houston Astros vs. Minnesota Twins – 2:10 PM EDT – Target Field
Pitching Matchup:
Hunter Brown (HOU) – RHP: 4.72 ERA, 26% K rate, 51% GB rate.
Joe Ryan (MIN) – RHP: 4.00 ERA, 28% K rate, 5% BB rate.
Game Insights:
Twins Offense: Averaging 3.85 runs/game, decent against RHP with a .320 wOBA.
Astros Offense: Averaging 3.65 runs/game, slightly lower production against RHP with a .325 wOBA.
Ryan’s elite strikeout rate gives the Twins an edge, but Brown’s ability to generate ground balls could suppress the Twins’ offense. This game could be a low-scoring affair.
Los Angeles Angels vs. Chicago Cubs – 2:20 PM EDT – Wrigley Field
Pitching Matchup:
Tyler Anderson (LAA) – LHP: 4.41 ERA, 18% K rate, 33% GB rate.
Cubs Offense: Averaging 4.51 runs/game, moderate against LHP with a .306 wOBA.
Angels Offense: Averaging 3.99 runs/game, strong against RHP with a .301 wOBA.
Both pitchers have struggled, which could lead to a high-scoring game. Anderson’s lower strikeout rate and Hendricks’ high contact rate suggest plenty of action.
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Washington Nationals – 4:05 PM EDT – Nationals Park
MacKenzie Gore (WAS) – LHP: 4.04 ERA, 26% K rate, 37% GB rate.
Game Insights:
Nationals Offense: Averaging 4.98 runs/game, decent against RHP with a .300 wOBA.
Cardinals Offense: Averaging 4.52 runs/game, lower against LHP with a .314 wOBA.
Gore’s high strikeout rate gives the Nationals an edge, but Lynn’s experience and ability to limit hard contact could keep the Cardinals competitive.
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Texas Rangers – 4:05 PM EDT – Globe Life Field
Pitching Matchup:
Taj Bradley (TBR) – RHP: 4.84 ERA, 29% K rate, 37% GB rate.
Andrew Heaney (TEX) – LHP: 4.11 ERA, 24% K rate, 38% GB rate.
Game Insights:
Rangers Offense: Averaging 4.25 runs/game, solid against RHP with a .295 wOBA.
Rays Offense: Averaging 4.25 runs/game, strong against LHP with a .303 wOBA.
Bradley’s high strikeout rate could dominate the Rangers, but his inconsistency might give Texas opportunities. Heaney’s balanced profile makes this a tight matchup.
New York Mets vs. Pittsburgh Pirates – 4:05 PM EDT – PNC Park
Pitching Matchup:
David Peterson (NYM) – LHP: 4.68 ERA, 24% K rate, 54% GB rate.