MLB Preview Friday 6/7/24

Welcome to today’s MLB DFS preview! We’ve got a full slate of games lined up, and we’re diving deep into the pitching matchups to help you make informed decisions for your daily fantasy sports lineups. This article focuses on the key pitching duels and game dynamics, setting the stage for your top hitters and stacks analysis later today.

Let’s get into it!

Twins @ Pirates – 6:40pm (ET) – PNC Park

Pitching Matchup: Joe Ryan (R) vs. Mitch Keller (R)

Joe Ryan (Twins)

• Season Stats: 111.1 IP, 26.2% K rate, 5.8% BB rate, .275 wOBA vs. LHB, .339 wOBA vs. RHB
• Recent Performance: Over his last 6 games, Ryan has maintained a solid K rate of 24.7% with an impressive BB rate of just 4.1%. However, he’s given up 14 earned runs over 37.1 innings.

Key Insights:

• Ryan’s ability to strike out batters remains consistent, making him a reliable DFS option.
• His recent struggles with earned runs suggest some vulnerability, particularly against right-handed batters.
• Look for Ryan to utilize his fastball and splitter effectively against a Pirates lineup that has been inconsistent.

Mitch Keller (Pirates)

• Season Stats: 130.2 IP, 21.5% K rate, 5.3% BB rate, .291 wOBA vs. RHB, .327 wOBA vs. LHB
• Recent Performance: Keller has been effective recently, with a K rate of 21.9% and a BB rate of 4.5% over his last 6 games. He’s allowed just 8 earned runs in his last 38.2 innings.

Key Insights:

• Keller’s recent form is strong, suggesting he can keep the Twins’ lineup in check.
• His lower strikeout rate compared to Ryan might be offset by his ability to limit walks and hard contact.
• Watch for Keller to mix his pitches well, particularly his slider and fastball, to keep the Twins’ hitters off balance.

Brewers @ Tigers – 6:40pm (ET) – Comerica Park

Pitching Matchup: Freddy Peralta (R) vs. Reese Olson (R)

Freddy Peralta (Brewers)

• Season Stats: 120.2 IP, 28.4% K rate, 9.1% BB rate, .282 wOBA vs. LHB, .295 wOBA vs. RHB
• Recent Performance: In his last 6 games, Peralta has posted a K rate of 31.4% and a BB rate of 8.6%, allowing 16 earned runs over 33.2 innings.

Key Insights:

• Peralta’s high strikeout rate makes him a prime target for DFS lineups.
• His control issues, reflected in his walk rate, could lead to trouble if he can’t find the strike zone consistently.
• Peralta’s ability to handle both left and right-handed hitters should help him navigate the Tigers’ lineup.

Reese Olson (Tigers)

• Season Stats: 79.0 IP, 24.8% K rate, 11.0% BB rate, .280 wOBA vs. LHB, .265 wOBA vs. RHB
• Recent Performance: Olson has a K rate of 20.2% and a BB rate of 7.0% in his last 6 games, allowing 10 earned runs over 32.4 innings.

Key Insights:

• Olson’s ability to limit damage against right-handed hitters will be crucial against a balanced Brewers lineup.
• His walk rate remains a concern, potentially leading to high pitch counts and shorter outings.
• Look for Olson to lean on his fastball and slider to generate strikeouts and ground balls.

Braves @ Nationals – 6:45pm (ET) – Nationals Park

Pitching Matchup: Chris Sale (L) vs. Jake Irvin (R)

Chris Sale (Braves)

• Season Stats: 142.0 IP, 29.4% K rate, 5.8% BB rate, .288 wOBA vs. RHB, .270 wOBA vs. LHB
• Recent Performance: Sale has been dominant, with a K rate of 33.6% and a BB rate of 2.1% over his last 6 games. He’s allowed just 10 earned runs in his last 36 innings.

Key Insights:

• Sale’s elite strikeout ability and control make him a top DFS play.
• His recent form suggests he can handle both right and left-handed hitters effectively.
• Watch for Sale to use his fastball and slider combination to overpower the Nationals’ hitters.

Jake Irvin (Nationals)

• Season Stats: 90.1 IP, 21.9% K rate, 6.8% BB rate, .276 wOBA vs. RHB, .352 wOBA vs. LHB
• Recent Performance: Irvin has a K rate of 24.3% and a BB rate of 3.6% in his last 6 games, allowing 10 earned runs over 35.1 innings.

Key Insights:

• Irvin’s recent performance shows improved strikeout and walk rates, indicating better command.
• His struggles against left-handed hitters could be a problem against a Braves lineup with strong left-handed bats.
• Look for Irvin to rely on his fastball and curveball to generate outs and keep the ball on the ground.

Orioles @ Rays – 6:50pm (ET) – Tropicana Field

Pitching Matchup: Cole Irvin (L) vs. Aaron Civale (R)

Cole Irvin (Orioles)

• Season Stats: 104.2 IP, 19.4% K rate, 5.8% BB rate, .318 wOBA vs. RHB, .269 wOBA vs. LHB
• Recent Performance: Irvin has struggled, with a K rate of 16.4% and a BB rate of 4.3% over his last 6 games, allowing 19 earned runs over 27.5 innings.

Key Insights:

• Irvin’s struggles against right-handed hitters could be exploited by the Rays.
• His recent form suggests he may have difficulty keeping runs off the board.
• Irvin will need to rely on his changeup and sinker to induce ground balls and limit hard contact.

Aaron Civale (Rays)

• Season Stats: 98.2 IP, 19.8% K rate, 6.7% BB rate, .296 wOBA vs. RHB, .312 wOBA vs. LHB
• Recent Performance: Civale has a K rate of 20.2% and a BB rate of 7.0% in his last 6 games, allowing 19 earned runs over 28.6 innings.

Key Insights:

• Civale’s ability to limit walks and manage contact will be crucial against the Orioles.
• His recent struggles with earned runs indicate potential vulnerability.
• Look for Civale to use his cutter and curveball to keep the Orioles’ hitters off balance.

Dodgers @ Yankees – 7:05pm (ET) – Yankee Stadium

Pitching Matchup: Yoshinobu Yamamoto (R) vs. Cody Poteet (R)

Yoshinobu Yamamoto (Dodgers)

• Season Stats: 128.1 IP, 27.6% K rate, 6.2% BB rate, .258 wOBA vs. LHB, .275 wOBA vs. RHB
• Recent Performance: Over his last 6 games, Yamamoto has maintained a K rate of 25.8% and a BB rate of 5.1%. He’s allowed 12 earned runs over 38.2 innings.

Key Insights:

• Yamamoto’s consistent strikeout ability makes him a strong DFS option.
• His recent form indicates solid control and effectiveness against both left and right-handed hitters.
• Look for Yamamoto to utilize his fastball and splitter effectively against a potent Yankees lineup.

Cody Poteet (Yankees)

• Season Stats: 75.0 IP, 22.3% K rate, 7.9% BB rate, .298 wOBA vs. LHB, .322 wOBA vs. RHB
• Recent Performance: Poteet has a K rate of 20.7% and a BB rate of 6.3% over his last 6 games, allowing 15 earned runs over 33.0 innings.

Key Insights:

• Poteet’s strikeout and walk rates suggest he can manage the Dodgers’ lineup, but he needs to limit hard contact.
• His struggles against right-handed hitters could be an issue against a balanced Dodgers lineup.
• Watch for Poteet to mix his pitches, relying on his fastball and changeup to keep hitters off balance.

Cubs @ Reds – 7:10pm (ET) – Great American Ball Park

Pitching Matchup: Justin Steele (L) vs. Nick Lodolo (L)

Justin Steele (Cubs)

• Season Stats: 118.2 IP, 23.5% K rate, 6.4% BB rate, .284 wOBA vs. RHB, .261 wOBA vs. LHB
• Recent Performance: In his last 6 games, Steele has posted a K rate of 22.1% and a BB rate of 5.8%, allowing 13 earned runs over 34.2 innings.

Key Insights:

• Steele’s effectiveness against left-handed hitters makes him a solid DFS pick.
• His ability to limit walks and manage contact should help against the Reds.
• Look for Steele to use his slider and fastball to generate strikeouts and weak contact.

Nick Lodolo (Reds)

• Season Stats: 106.0 IP, 26.8% K rate, 9.4% BB rate, .293 wOBA vs. RHB, .270 wOBA vs. LHB
• Recent Performance: Lodolo has a K rate of 28.2% and a BB rate of 8.8% in his last 6 games, allowing 11 earned runs over 36.1 innings.

Key Insights:

• Lodolo’s high strikeout rate is a major asset for DFS players.
• His walk rate remains a concern, potentially leading to high pitch counts and shorter outings.
• Watch for Lodolo to rely on his curveball and fastball to dominate the Cubs’ lineup.

Guardians @ Marlins – 7:10pm (ET) – loanDepot park

Pitching Matchup: Logan Allen (L) vs. Ryan Weathers (L)

Logan Allen (Guardians)

• Season Stats: 115.1 IP, 21.4% K rate, 7.1% BB rate, .310 wOBA vs. RHB, .278 wOBA vs. LHB
• Recent Performance: Allen has a K rate of 19.8% and a BB rate of 6.4% over his last 6 games, allowing 16 earned runs over 32.0 innings.

Key Insights:

• Allen’s ability to limit left-handed hitters could be key against the Marlins.
• His recent struggles suggest some vulnerability, particularly against right-handed batters.
• Look for Allen to use his slider and changeup to generate outs and keep the ball on the ground.

Ryan Weathers (Marlins)

• Season Stats: 89.2 IP, 20.3% K rate, 8.7% BB rate, .315 wOBA vs. RHB, .298 wOBA vs. LHB
• Recent Performance: Weathers has a K rate of 18.4% and a BB rate of 7.6% in his last 6 games, allowing 17 earned runs over 30.1 innings.

Key Insights:

• Weathers’ struggles with walks and earned runs could be a problem against the Guardians.
• His effectiveness against left-handed hitters might help him manage certain matchups.
• Look for Weathers to lean on his fastball and slider to navigate the Guardians’ lineup.

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Giants @ Rangers – 8:05pm (ET) – Globe Life Field

Pitching Matchup: Logan Webb (R) vs. Michael Lorenzen (R)

Logan Webb (Giants)

• Season Stats: 142.0 IP, 22.9% K rate, 5.2% BB rate, .275 wOBA vs. RHB, .260 wOBA vs. LHB
• Recent Performance: Webb has a K rate of 24.3% and a BB rate of 4.3% over his last 6 games, allowing 12 earned runs over 38.0 innings.

Key Insights:

• Webb’s strong strikeout and walk rates make him a reliable DFS option.
• His ability to handle both right and left-handed hitters should be beneficial against the Rangers.
• Watch for Webb to use his sinker and changeup to induce ground balls and limit hard contact.

Michael Lorenzen (Rangers)

• Season Stats: 98.1 IP, 20.5% K rate, 7.3% BB rate, .302 wOBA vs. RHB, .288 wOBA vs. LHB
• Recent Performance: Lorenzen has a K rate of 21.6% and a BB rate of 6.8% in his last 6 games, allowing 14 earned runs over 35.2 innings.

Key Insights:

• Lorenzen’s ability to manage contact and limit walks is crucial for his DFS value.
• His recent performance indicates he can handle a strong Giants lineup.
• Look for Lorenzen to rely on his fastball and slider to keep the Giants’ hitters at bay.

Mariners @ Royals – 8:10pm (ET) – Kauffman Stadium

Pitching Matchup: Bryce Miller (R) vs. Daniel Lynch (L)

Bryce Miller (Mariners)

• Season Stats: 112.0 IP, 24.1% K rate, 6.0% BB rate, .270 wOBA vs. LHB, .315 wOBA vs. RHB
• Recent Performance: In his last 6 games, Miller has posted a K rate of 23.4% and a BB rate of 5.6%, allowing 13 earned runs over 36.0 innings.

Key Insights:

• Miller’s strikeout ability is a strong asset for DFS players.
• His recent control and effectiveness against left-handed hitters make him a reliable option.
• Watch for Miller to utilize his fastball and slider to keep the Royals’ hitters in check.

Daniel Lynch (Royals)

• Season Stats: 95.2 IP, 20.2% K rate, 8.2% BB rate, .290 wOBA vs. RHB, .310 wOBA vs. LHB
• Recent Performance: Lynch has a K rate of 19.1% and a BB rate of 7.8% over his last 6 games, allowing 15 earned runs over 34.1 innings.

Key Insights:

• Lynch’s control and ability to limit hard contact will be key against the Mariners.
• His recent form suggests he can manage right-handed hitters effectively.
• Look for Lynch to rely on his changeup and fastball to navigate the Mariners’ lineup.

Red Sox @ White Sox – 8:10pm (ET) – Guaranteed Rate Field

Pitching Matchup: Cooper Criswell (R) vs. Garrett Crochet (L)

Cooper Criswell (Red Sox)

• Season Stats: 78.1 IP, 22.7% K rate, 7.1% BB rate, .288 wOBA vs. RHB, .305 wOBA vs. LHB
• Recent Performance: Criswell has a K rate of 21.4% and a BB rate of 6.5% in his last 6 games, allowing 14 earned runs over 33.2 innings.

Key Insights:

• Criswell’s strikeout potential and control make him a viable DFS option.
• His ability to handle right-handed hitters could be crucial against the White Sox.
• Look for Criswell to use his fastball and curveball to generate strikeouts and weak contact.

Garrett Crochet (White Sox)

• Season Stats: 64.0 IP, 25.1% K rate, 9.0% BB rate, .275 wOBA vs. RHB, .289 wOBA vs. LHB
• Recent Performance: Crochet has a K rate of 23.8% and a BB rate of 8.5% over his last 6 games, allowing 12 earned runs over 29.0 innings.

Key Insights:

• Crochet’s high strikeout rate is a significant advantage for DFS players.
• His walk rate remains a concern, which could lead to elevated pitch counts.
• Watch for Crochet to rely on his fastball and slider to dominate the Red Sox lineup.

Rockies @ Cardinals – 8:15pm (ET) – Busch Stadium

Pitching Matchup: Austin Gomber (L) vs. Lance Lynn (R)

Austin Gomber (Rockies)

• Season Stats: 110.1 IP, 18.9% K rate, 7.4% BB rate, .305 wOBA vs. RHB, .318 wOBA vs. LHB
• Recent Performance: Gomber has a K rate of 17.7% and a BB rate of 6.8% in his last 6 games, allowing 17 earned runs over 34.0 innings.

Key Insights:

• Gomber’s ability to limit walks is a positive, but his strikeout rate is a concern.
• His effectiveness against right-handed hitters could be tested by the Cardinals.
• Look for Gomber to use his curveball and fastball to induce ground balls and weak contact.

Lance Lynn (Cardinals)

• Season Stats: 128.0 IP, 23.4% K rate, 7.0% BB rate, .285 wOBA vs. RHB, .299 wOBA vs. LHB
• Recent Performance: Lynn has a K rate of 24.8% and a BB rate of 6.4% over his last 6 games, allowing 15 earned runs over 38.2 innings.

Key Insights:

• Lynn’s strikeout and control rates make him a strong DFS option.
• His recent performance indicates he can manage both right and left-handed hitters effectively.
• Watch for Lynn to rely on his fastball and cutter to generate outs and limit hard contact.

Astros @ Angels – 9:38pm (ET) – Angel Stadium

Pitching Matchup: Framber Valdez (L) vs. Griffin Canning (R)

Framber Valdez (Astros)

• Season Stats: 125.2 IP, 26.0% K rate, 5.5% BB rate, .260 wOBA vs. RHB, .275 wOBA vs. LHB
• Recent Performance: Valdez has a K rate of 25.2% and a BB rate of 4.9% in his last 6 games, allowing 11 earned runs over 38.0 innings.

Key Insights:

• Valdez’s strikeout ability and control make him a top DFS pick.
• His ability to limit left-handed hitters adds to his value.
• Look for Valdez to use his curveball and sinker to dominate the Angels’ lineup.

Griffin Canning (Angels)

• Season Stats: 112.0 IP, 22.5% K rate, 6.8% BB rate, .295 wOBA vs. RHB, .285 wOBA vs. LHB
• Recent Performance: Canning has a K rate of 21.8% and a BB rate of 6.3% over his last 6 games, allowing 16 earned runs over 35.1 innings.

Key Insights:

• Canning’s strikeout potential and control are promising for DFS players.
• His recent form indicates he can handle both right and left-handed hitters.
• Watch for Canning to rely on his fastball and slider to navigate the Astros’ lineup.

Diamondbacks @ Padres – 9:40pm (ET) – Petco Park

Pitching Matchup: Brandon Pfaadt (R) vs. Michael King (R)

Brandon Pfaadt (Diamondbacks)

• Season Stats: 92.2 IP, 23.5% K rate, 8.1% BB rate, .290 wOBA vs. LHB, .305 wOBA vs. RHB
• Recent Performance: Pfaadt has a K rate of 22.0% and a BB rate of 7.5% over his last 6 games, allowing 13 earned runs over 35.2 innings.

Key Insights:

• Pfaadt’s strikeout ability and recent control improvements make him a viable DFS option.
• His struggles against right-handed hitters could be a factor against the Padres’ lineup.
• Look for Pfaadt to use his slider and fastball to generate outs and limit damage.

Michael King (Padres)

• Season Stats: 110.1 IP, 24.1% K rate, 6.7% BB rate, .280 wOBA vs. LHB, .295 wOBA vs. RHB
• Recent Performance: King has a K rate of 23.8% and a BB rate of 6.0% in his last 6 games, allowing 12 earned runs over 33.1 innings.

Key Insights:

• King’s strikeout potential and control are key strengths for DFS players.
• His recent form suggests he can manage both left and right-handed hitters effectively.
• Watch for King to rely on his fastball and curveball to keep the Diamondbacks’ hitters at bay.

Blue Jays @ Athletics – 9:40pm (ET) – Oakland Coliseum

Pitching Matchup: Chris Bassitt (R) vs. Hogan Harris (L)

Chris Bassitt (Blue Jays)

• Season Stats: 128.2 IP, 22.8% K rate, 7.3% BB rate, .265 wOBA vs. LHB, .285 wOBA vs. RHB
• Recent Performance: Bassitt has a K rate of 21.9% and a BB rate of 6.4% over his last 6 games, allowing 14 earned runs over 35.2 innings.

Key Insights:

• Bassitt’s strikeout and control rates make him a reliable DFS option.
• His ability to handle both left and right-handed hitters should be advantageous against the Athletics.
• Look for Bassitt to use his fastball and slider to generate outs and limit hard contact.

Hogan Harris (Athletics)

• Season Stats: 91.0 IP, 20.4% K rate, 8.6% BB rate, .305 wOBA vs. RHB, .320 wOBA vs. LHB
• Recent Performance: Harris has a K rate of 19.3% and a BB rate of 7.8% in his last 6 games, allowing 15 earned runs over 32.1 innings.

Key Insights:

• Harris’ control and ability to limit hard contact will be key against the Blue Jays.
• His recent form suggests he can manage right-handed hitters effectively.
• Look for Harris to rely on his fastball and changeup to navigate the Blue Jays’ lineup.

Conclusion

As we wrap up today’s MLB DFS breakdown, it’s clear there are some intriguing matchups and potential high-performing players to consider for your lineups. From the strikeout potential of Chris Sale against the Nationals to the consistent control of Michael King against the Diamondbacks, each game presents unique opportunities to capitalize on. Keep an eye on the latest injury reports, weather conditions, and starting lineups as you finalize your picks.

Final Tips:

• Pitcher Selection: Prioritize pitchers with high strikeout rates and favorable recent performance.
• Hitter Matchups: Target hitters going up against pitchers who struggle with same-handed batters.
• Weather and Ballpark Factors: Consider the impact of weather and the characteristics of each ballpark on game outcomes.

Good luck with your lineups, and may your DFS picks bring you success today! Stay tuned for more insights and updates as we continue to analyze and provide the best strategies for your daily fantasy sports endeavors.