Marlins vs. Nationals Betting Odds Best MLB Bets, Picks & Predictions – September 17, 2022

Marlins vs. Nationals Betting Odds

4:05 p.m. ET

Picture it is 2021. Trevor Rogers is pitching in the All Star game and strikes out 2 in the 5th inning. At the time he had a 2.31 ERA and 122 K in 101.1 innings. He finished the year with a terrific 2.64 ERA, and the southpaw was a massive bright spot on a young team that filled the standings with losses. 

Then we fast forward to the present day. Trevor has a 5.35 ERA, a 1.48 WHIP, and opposing batters are hitting .271 off him for the season. It has been quite the change for Trevor, but I have been watching him closely all year waiting for a potential turn around. I think he may finally be onto something. 

Rogers missed most of August, but in his three starts since returning he has pitched 18.1 innings, surrendered only 6 runs, and striking out 22. I am willing to buy stock into this turnaround, and like him to have a solid day vs. the Nats. 

Trevor’s splits favor day games, and away games. We get both of those today. He will bring a 31.4% K rate over the last 30 days with him to the park. Perhaps even more important, a 4.3% BB rate over the L30. Walks have been a massive part of his downfall this season, so that number is key in suggesting he could continue his turnaround. 

At plus odds, give me Trevor to send down six Nats on strikes.

Marlins vs. Nationals Pick: Trevor Rogers Over 5.5 Strikeouts | +115 at DraftKings