Diamondbacks vs. Giants Betting Odds
Arizona Diamondbacks (53-63) vs. San Francisco Giants (59-57)
9:45 p.m. ET
You will have to stay up pretty late for this one if you are on the east coast like I am. The Diamondbacks take on one of the league’s top lefties, and I love him to have a big night.
Rodon is one of the top K guys in the sport. He checks every box you could ask for: 86th percentile in K per inning, 84th percentile in swinging strike percentage, 90th percentile in K rate, 79th percentile in whiff rate, and 74th percentile in chase rate. He is 4th in the league in K with 168 so far this season. What is most compelling about this one is his home stats. 10/23 starts have occurred at home and his splits are eye popping:
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Home ERA: 1.89
Away ERA: 3.72
Home K per inning: 1.40
Away K per inning: 1.14
Home K rate: 34.8%
Away K rate: 28.4%
Rodon is a different beast when at home, and matches up vs batters he has fared well against. Current DBacks hitters are a combined 8/53 vs Carlos with 21 K (35% K rate).
Arizona has been an interesting target throughout the season. They have had stretches where they are easy to K, and stretches where they are tough to K. What stands out most to me this late in the season is their home/road numbers:
Home K rate: 21.3%
Away K rate: 23.9%
Home K per game: 7.57
Away K per game: 8.91
We have a large splits advantage for Carlos and the DBacks road offense. I love Rodon to do what he does, and believe he picks up 8+ K in this one.
Diamondbacks vs. Giants Pick: Carlos Rodon over 7.5 strikeouts | -115 at DraftKings