The OddsJam Perfect Line has the St. Louis Cardinals winning this matchup vs. the Chicago Cubs with a confidence rate of 55.23%.
St. Louis Cardinals
This has been one of my favorite teams to watch this season. Ranking 4th in Runs Per Game, 4th in Hits Per Game and 4th in Batting Average, the Cardinals (31-23) offense has been entertaining to say the least. They have won 7 of their last 10 games (70%) with a 15-12 record on the road this season.
This team has been a burst of offense with a red-hot Paul Goldschmidt, Nolan Arenado and potential rookie of the year, Nolan Gorman. The Cardinals have put up a combined 22 runs so far in this series against the Cubs (7.3 Per Game) and I don’t see that slowing down.
Chicago Cubs
The Cubs (23-31) have been surprising this season. After the departure of Javier Baez, Anthony Rizzo and Kris Bryant, many people thought this team would be at rock bottom.
Well, they find themselves ranked 10th in Runs Per Game and showing a lot of promise. They’ve battled hard against divisional opponents all season, including the Cardinals.
This series has been a slugfest. In four total games so far, these teams have combined for 49 runs which is an average of 12.25 runs per game. At least one team has scored 6 or more runs in every game so far, and the over has hit in three of four (75%) games in the series.
The only time it went under was when the Cardinals were held to one run in the first game of a double header, where the Cubs won 6-1. I don’t see either offense being quiet tonight, especially under the bright lights and big stage of Sunday Night Baseball. Justin Steele of the Cubs has given up 10 earned runs in his last 7 IP and gets his hardest matchup of them all tonight.
Wainwright of the Cardinals has been great, especially for his age, however has found himself with control issues in a few starts as well as a few outings of 4+ earned runs. I’m expecting one of those performances tonight. As mentioned, both teams rank top 10 in the MLB in runs per game. The Cubs have hit 55 home runs this season, which ranks 7th in the NL.
There has also been a weird conspiracy theory going around claiming that Sunday Night Baseball games have been given “juiced balls” for entertainment purposes. Tonight is the perfect game to test this theory. Strong data, strong trends and a strong matchup as the division rivals clash on ESPN.
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