A team total bet in sports betting is similar to an over/under bet. But instead of betting on how many total points will be scored in the game, the bet is exclusively on how many points will be scored by one team.
How Are Team Totals Made/Handicapped?
Team totals are made by looking at the predetermined spread and over/under lines — they are subject to the same potential movement as those bets. These movements can be due to money coming in on a certain side or variables like injuries, suspensions, recent form and weather.
By looking at the spread and total points, it’s easy to figure out (or at least come very close to) what the team totals will be.
For example, if the New England Patriots are playing the New York Jets and are favored by 8 points with an over/under total of 42, the team totals will add up to 42 and be a differential of 8 points, or very close to it.
So, in this case, the Patriots’ team total would be around 24.5, while the Jets’ team total would be 16.5. Those only add up to 41, but both are on a certain side of key football numbers (combinations of adding 7 for touchdowns with an extra point and 3 for field goals).
How To Read Team Total Odds
Because there aren’t as many variables in a team total bet (only one team instead of two), odds will not be exactly even as often as they are on full game totals. Be sure to pay attention to the corresponding odds (+100, -110, -120, etc.) before selecting a side to wager on.
Many sportsbooks also offer alternate lines on team totals, meaning you can select from various different totals. Depending on how far your selection is from the standard team total, the odds will be heavily skewed in one direction or the other. If the standard team total is 21.5 and you select an alternate line of over 28.5, that bet will have a significantly higher payout because of the 7 points “sold” to the sportsbook.
Is a Team Total a Good Bet?
Like any standard bet, the sportsbook sets the line in the middle of the potential outcomes to try and split the money and make a profit on the juice, or vig. So at first glance, this bet is no more profitable or risky than any other bet. However, because it is a bet on only one team’s outcome, there are fewer variables to think about.
In our example, if you believe the Patriots will have no trouble scoring points but aren’t sure the Jets will contribute enough to push the game total over, selecting the Patriots’ team total over may be the right choice. On the other hand, if you have no confidence in the Jets to score but think the Patriots may blow them out of the water, the Jets team total under would be the right play.