The best bets and resources to make you more profitable
PointsBetting is a very unique market of betting that rewards you the more you are right and penalizes you the more you’re wrong. Currently, PointsBet is the only sportsbook that offers this betting market. The essence of PointsBetting is pretty straightforward; your profit is determined by how much you win your bet. This upside profit possibility also carries a huge downside risk. If you end up losing the bet, you will then lose the amount by which you missed the bet.
PointsBetting follows this simple formula: Profit/Loss = (Result – Expected Result) x Original Stake.
Let’s jump into a quick example:
The Bet: You placed a $10 bet on Over 212 total points in an NBA game.
Result: That game finishes at 222 total points.
Profit: If we follow the formula above, first we determine by how many points the bet won: 222 – 212 = 10 points. We then multiply that by your stake in the bet: 10 x $10. You will profit $100 on that bet.
What happens if that game finished short of your bet at 202 total points? (202-212) x $10 = -$100. In this scenario, you will LOSE $100. PointsBetting is the only market you can lose more money than your original stake in the bet.
As you can see above, PointsBetting is a very high-risk, high-reward proposition. However, PointsBet offers a Stop-Loss feature, which allows you to limit your risk exposure on these bets. If you bet with a stop-loss, your loss (and winnings!) will be capped at the multiplier you set at the time of placing the bet.
Let’s go back to the example above:
The Bet: If you placed a $10 bet on Over 212 total points with a stop-loss at 15x (meaning five times your original stake)
Result: The game finishes and the total ended at 192.
Loss: The normal PointsBetting equation now becomes only part of figuring out your profit/loss. If you follow the original equation, your loss would be $200; (192-212) x $10 = -$200. However, with your 5x stop loss, your loss would only be $150 (15 x $10) as opposed to $200, if you didn’t bet with a stop-loss.
On the flip side, if that game ended at 222 points, your winnings would be capped at $150 as well.
In addition to total points, you can bet on a variety of different markets with PointsBetting, including Points Spread, Player Props and their new feature; Multipliers.
LA Rams -4 vs. SF 49ers
Joel Embiid o/u 43 PRA
Jordan Spieth to finish 15th or better at the Masters
Rams Team Total x 49ers Team Total
Now that we understand what PointsBetting is and what bets we can make, we must ask; how can PointsBetting be profitable for me? The first rule always is to make sure you are placing positive expected value (+EV) bets. As we discussed above, losses on Points Bets can add up quickly, so having a strategy rooted in placing mathematically profitable bets is essential. Once you identify a +EV bet, using OddsJams +EV page and calculators, there are still extra considerations you may want to account for while PointsBetting.
A leading guiding principle here is to stay away from unders. Typically, unders can have a high EV percentage (because the public loves overs). However, too many flukey things can happen in the course of a game that could favor the over. Imagine having an under bet and the game goes into overtime! That would be a tough beat, and if you don’t have a stop-loss in place the downside risk is endless as the game could go into double or triple OT.
If you’re a regular on the +EV page, you’ll see that player props always have a high variance between books. This makes props a great target for PointsBetting. +EV betting can help identify a situation where a player is primed for a bust out performance, and a good PointsBetting candidate for the day. Of course, prop bets are prone to flukes, just like under bets. You’ll want to ensure you have a stop loss on this bet. You don’t want injury or other unlikely scenarios to ruin your bankroll on just one bet.
The concept of pointsbetting is still very new in the legal US market. PointsBet is rapidly expanding their operations to legal sports betting states across the US. Right now, they are the only book offering points betting. But, as its popularity expands in the US, look out for other books offering similar, if not identical, markets on their platforms. No matter what market you place your pointsbet on, remember to always bet Positive EV!