One thing that gets too frustrating in the sports betting world is the fact that every sportsbook can independently set their own rules and scoring. That frustration can be even worse when it’s a DFS platform such as PrizePicks. If I’m ONLY betting parlays how do pushes grade? We’re going to go over that in this article.
First of all, if you haven’t signed up for PrizePicks yet you can do so here and use promo code ‘ODDSJAM’ for a first deposit match up to $100.
Before we get into how pushes work, let’s talk about the best way to profit on PrizePicks. The only way to guarantee profit in the long run is to form entries with picks that beat the fair odds PrizePicks is giving you. Five or six-pick flex plays are best, as each prop must only beat -119 odds. In comparison, two-pick entries must beat -137 to be profitable.
In order to beat -119 odds on your five and six-pick entries, you have to find props that are favored on sportsbooks to the point that the no-vig fair odds are better than -119.
Fortunately, there’s an easy way to figure out which props cross this threshold. Enter the OddsJam Fantasy Screen. The screen will show you the chances that each entry has of hitting based on odds from around the market. If an entry is filled with exclusively green (which indicates beating -119, creating positive expected value) picks, the expected value of the entry will be significantly positive. Here’s an example of the screen in acton:
The best part of the OddsJam Fantasy Screen is that it includes more than just PrizePicks. Underdog Fantasy, No House Advantage, ParlayPlay, Fliff, HotStreak, Jock MKT, and ThriveFantasy are also included.
So now, what happens if these legs in your PrizePicks entry push?
On PrizePicks you can either make a power play or a flex play. In the power play, every leg must hit for it to win. If one of those legs is a push (tie), it is graded as follows:
4 Pick Power Play becomes a 3 Pick Power Play
3 Pick Power Play becomes a 2 Pick Power Play
2 Pick Power Play with one correct and one tie pays out 1.5x
2 Pick Power Play with one loss and one tie pays nothing
The general odds for a PrizePicks power play are as follows:
4-Pick Power with 4 correct picks = 10x the entry fee
3-Pick Power with 3 correct picks = 5x the entry fee
2-Pick Power with 2 correct picks = 3x the entry fee
A flex play becomes more complicated because some of the legs can lose and you can still get a payout. If a flex play has a leg that is a push (tie), it is graded as follows:
6-Pick Flex -> 5-Pick Flex
5-Pick Flex → 4-Pick Flex
4-Pick Flex → 3-Pick Flex
3-Pick Flex → 2-Pick Power
The general flex play payouts are as follows:
6-Pick Flex with 6 correct picks = 25x the entry fee
6-Pick Flex with 5 correct picks = 2x the entry fee
6-Pick Flex with 4 correct picks = 0.4x the entry fee
5-Pick Flex with 5 correct picks = 10x the entry fee
5-Pick Flex with 4 correct picks = 2x the entry fee
5-pick Flex with 3 correct picks = 0.4x the entry fee
4-Pick Flex with 4 correct picks = 5x the entry fee
4-Pick Flex with 3 correct picks = 1.5x the entry fee
3-Pick Flex with 3 correct picks = 2.25x the entry fee
3-Pick Flex with 2 correct picks = 1.25x the entry fee