The OddsJam Perfect Line has the Connecticut Sun beating the Washington Mystics at Mohegan Sun Arena with 71.64% confidence and a final score of 84 to 76. The Sun have their home crowd behind them and everything to prove.
Mystics vs. Sun Betting Preview
The Connecticut Sun are poised to shine bright after Sunday’s matchup against The Washington Mystics.
Despite holding the third-best record in the league, the Sun have been on a cold streak, losing three of their last four games. This includes a 63 to 71 loss on the road against the Mystics on June 29. The Sun are hoping this matchup looks more like their 79 to 71 victory against the Mystics a month prior on May 28.
While this matchup will not be pivotal for either team’s playoff chances, the Sun are in need of a dominant home-game pick-me-up as they approach the All Star Game. The Mystics are in position to accept this punishment, as their lead scorer and 2x WNBA MVP Elena Delle Donne will not be playing for rest purposes.
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Elena Delle Donne’s rest is not a major surprise. Throughout the 2022 season, the Mystics have been carefully managing her workload as she returns from hiatus. After leading the Mystics to the WNBA Championship in 2019, Delle Donne opted to not participate in the 2020 season due to COVID-19 health concerns, and in 2021, was limited to three games.
Delle Donne has only played 14 games of 22 games thus far in the 2022 season, but has been a critical part of the Mystics offense, leading the team in points (15.3 per game) and rebounds (5.9 per game). The Mystics are 10-and-4 with Delle Donne in play, and 3-and-5 without.
Granted, the Mystics have a lot of talent in their roster. Ariel Atkins is a 2022 WNBA All-Star, averaging 15 points a game. Natasha Cloud has been a playmaker, averaging 7.3 assists a game. And rookie Rui Machada has shown a lot of promise for the team’s future. But on Sunday, Elena Delle Donne’s presence will be missed.
Connecticut Sun
The key for the Sun will be to get off to a fast start. In their last three losses, the Sun have started the second quarter with a double-digit deficit. It seems their problem may be a lackluster offense. The Sun have not matched their FG% or 3P% in any of the last four games. In order to prove their return-to-form, the Sun will need to break their shooting slump.
Meanwhile, the rest of the league has received a reminder why the Sun are still one of the most-feared teams to face: Their roster includes three All-Stars. Together Jonquel Jones, Brionna Jones and Alyssa Thomas have averaged 42.4 points, 22.1 rebounds and 9.2 assists per game.
Mystics vs. Sun Betting Pick: Sun – 4.5 | -110 at BetMGM
If the Mystics can pull off an upset, it will be hard-fought and close and the result of another subpar performance by the Sun. However, if the planets are aligned around the Sun, the game will be decisive or a blowout. With the Mystics sitting out their largest contributor, the Sun are set to beat the spread.
I would feel comfortable with the Sun at -5.5 and at least -120 odds.
Bonus Betting Pick: Under 164.5 Total Points | -110 at BetMGM
The last two showdowns between these two teams have been low scoring. Even if the Sun score closer to their offensive capabilities, I don’t see the Mystics scoring enough to warrant any ‘Over’ picks. At the time of writing, every book in my area has the line at over/under 162.5. Under 164.5 is a steal.
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