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Wimbledon may be over but there’s still lots of tennis happening around the globe this week. The Ladies’ Open Lausanne is in full swing and here is the best positive expected value bet for Saturday’s action.
7 a.m. ET
Carolina Garcia came into the tournament as the sixth seed, and has dominated all the way to this semifinal match. Garcia has won all six sets she’s played this week, and hasn’t let an opponent come closer than a 6-4 defeat in any of them.
In Friday’s quarterfinal match against the No. 4 seed, Sara Sorribes Tormo, Garcia won 77% of her first serve points, and 70% of points on her second serve as well.
No opponent is going to be able to break Garcia’s service games consistently if that is sustained.
Martić, Garcia’s opponent in the semis, is also undefeated in sets at the tournament and defeated the No. 2 seed Belinda Bencic in the quarterfinals.
However, Martić won just 50% of her second serve points so Garcia should have a fair amount of opportunities to break serve.
With BetMGM offering plus odds, I like Garcia on the moneyline.
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