Serie A Betting Odds, Soccer Picks & Predictions for Matchday 5: Fiorentina-Juventus & Cremonese-Sassuolo Bets

<p>AP Photos</p>

AP Photos

The Serie A season is heading into Matchday 5! Find the Serie A betting picks and predictions OddsJam’s soccer expert @NorthSideCapper is locking in this weekend.

Serie A Matchday 5 Picks & Predictions

Fiorentina vs. Juventus Pick: Juventus -0.25 | +107 at BetRivers

Saturday, Sept. 3 | 9 a.m. ET

This tie is going to be referred to as the Dusan Vlahovic Derby from now on — or at least until Vlahovic moves on. There’s always a sense of excitement when these squads meet, but more so given the context of the star forward’s transfer from Fiorentina to Juventus last season.

It’s too early into the new campaign to make any concrete judgments, but the problems are certainly arising for Fiorentina. Four matches in and they find themselves already 5 points back of Serie A leaders Atalanta. While that may not seem like much given the point of the season we find ourselves in, one must also realize those above them probably won’t be dropping too many points either.

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Fiorentina started the year off on fire in front of goal, putting 3 goals past Cremonese and 2 goals past Dutch side Twente in their Europa Conference League match. Since then, Fiorentina have proceeded to go four matches without scoring a single goal, resulting in three draws and a loss. (I’m surprised it isn’t worse, to be honest.)

Coming up against a Juventus side that has conceded a single goal in four Serie A matches to date is going to make life extremely frustrating for a squad struggling to find answers at the moment.

Juventus are entering this fixture off a 2-0 victory over Spezia while recording their third clean sheet of the new season. Their defensive resilience has carried them to two wins and two draws early on and will look to continue their dominance over Fiorentina in recent history.

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In the last five head-to-head encounters, Juventus have walked away with three wins, one draw and one loss. Interestingly enough, Fiorentina have been shut out three times in those five encounters which is the same problem their squad is currently experiencing.

Given the form of both sides — Fiorentina struggling in front of goal combined with Juventus’ ability to contain their opponent’s attack, it’s hard to envision any result other than a Juventus win. While the Turin side hasn’t been producing in front of goal at alarming rates themselves, they may not have to and a single goal could easily carry them to victory.

We’re riding with the side in better shape and a side that has demonstrated an ability to grind out results with head-to-head history also on their side in this fixture.

Cremonese vs. Sassuolo Pick: Over 2.5 | -155 at BetRivers

Sunday, Sept. 4 | 6:30 a.m. ET

It’s been a tough start for newly-promoted side Cremonese that has suffered four straight defeats to begin the season. To their credit, they have remained competitive in all four of those fixtures, scoring at least 1 goal in three of the four and losing three of those four by a single goal.

Things were never going to be easy, but it’s always fun to place money on a side you know is going to fight until the end and possesses a good chance at finding the back of the net in the process. That is what Cremonese have provided to us.

The statement holds weight when looking no further than their last match (3-1 loss to Inter Milan) — down 3-0 heading into stoppage time when they banked a goal in the 90th minute to get on the scoresheet.

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Sassuolo are a tough team to read right now. Starting the year with a 3-0 loss to Juventus — in which they had plenty of chances to remain in the match — was a devastating blow, but then proceeded to earn a 1-0 clean sheet over Lecce, 2-2 draw against Spezia and a 0-0 draw against AC Milan.

A squad that scored 64 goals (seventh-most in Serie A last season) is showing some inconsistency early on and could pose some concern for bettors backing goals. Although we have seen enough from this side to move past it and trust in their proven ability to score goals moving forward and a match against Cremonese is the right spot to get back on track.

We’re riding with the over 2.5 in this fixture and are confidently backing Cremonese to show up and put in a full 90 minutes, which will hopefully translate into at least one goal for the home side.

Sassuolo have proven they are capable of producing in the final third and while they haven’t shown us back-to-back positive showings, we believe it’s only a matter of time until they will get back to their old selves starting today against a side who have been playing back and forth action-packed soccer.

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