OddsJam’s NHL experts take you through the best Avalanche vs. Lightning picks for Game 4 of the Stanley Cup Finals on June 22, 2022 in Tampa, FL.
Colorado Avalanche vs. Tampa Bay Lightning Picks
8:07 p.m. ET
The odds makers seem content to keep the total at 6, and I’m content to stay on the over. The total is a balance, weighted between the Tampa side which had let up a historically low number of goals in the lead up, and a high flying Colorado offense. Clearly the Colorado side is weighing heavier, as the total has gone over in all 3 games so far.
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Now the Avalanche did only manage 2 goals in Game 3, but the important part is that when they were down they sold out on defense to score. They still only managed to score on power plays but it opened the door for Tampa to score 6 of their own. The defense tightened up in the 3rd period but it’s hard to get away from your teams identity.
The type of play could lead to Tampa winning the series since they adjust so well, but it’s clear that they are the ones adjusting. This series already looks much more like the West playoff games, which is a perfect formula for the over.