Sharp NFL Picks for 2023 Super Bowl: 3 Predictions for Chiefs vs. Eagles in Super Bowl 57

The Super Bowl is nearly here and it’ll be the Chiefs and Eagles traveling to Arizona for a chance to win it all.

Last week, the Eagles won in dominating fashion after a complete collapse at the quarterback position for the 49ers.

The Chiefs narrowly escaped the Bengals, with some controversy surrounding the officiating.

It’s early, but let’s lock in our first few picks for the week. As always, make sure you line shop and track OddsJam’s Positive EV page, as the markets will be constantly changing through the week and there will be value to be found.

Chiefs vs. Eagles Super Bowl Sharp Picks

Eagles -2 | Shop for the Best Odds Below!

I lost a lot of coins this season betting against the Eagles, but they’ve proven me wrong time and time again. While the threat of Patrick Mahomes always looms large, Philadelphia’s roster is in such a better spot than that of Kansas City.

This game feels like the last time the Chiefs went to the Super Bowl, where the Buccaneers forced Mahomes to make every play a highlight reel to have a chance. Their roster was much better than the Chiefs’ roster and — even with Mahomes — it’s a team sport.

The Eagles have the best pass rush in the NFL and while the Chiefs have an effective offensive line, it will wear as the game moves along with the depth of talent on Philly’s front.

Philadelphia’s secondary is also among the best in the league with an elite trio of starting cornerbacks. Given the injuries to a wide receiver group for the Chiefs that isn’t overly flashy without Tyreek Hill, that is another mismatch in favor of the Eagles.

The Chiefs defense continues to impress, as they have been finding ways to make plays with seventh-round rookies playing meaningful snaps in the AFC Championship Game. I don’t believe it’s enough to hold up against this roster of Philadelphia’s.

In the end, the Eagles’ absurd talent is enough to overcome even Patrick Mahomes.

Travis Kelce Anytime Touchdown | Shop for the Best Odds Below!

Another week, another cash from Travis Kelce.

We’ve found great value betting on Kelce to score in each of the last two playoff games and he’s rewarded us twice. We’re going to continue to back the future Hall of Famer as he looks to get his second ring.

Kelce is the lone consistent target on the Chiefs offense and playoff defenses can’t seem to find a way to cover him. While the Chiefs have a wealth of solid receiving options, Kelce is the only elite playmaker and he’ll continue to get a wealth of targets.

Not only is Kelce an elite tight end, but he’s continued to have monster performances in the postseason and should do well in this one. He’s scored 12 touchdowns in 15 career postseason games, so 12/15 is certainly a higher value than his average betting odds for this game, which is roughly -110.

By looking for these bets early, you can find great value, especially on these anytime touchdown props. For example, DraftKings currently has this prop at around -115, while you can get this at other sportsbooks at +100.

Remember to keep monitoring this prop as we get closer to the big game!

Devonta Smith Anytime Touchdown | Shop for the Best Odds Below!

I love the value we are getting with Brown to score against this Kansas City defense. At time of writing, we are looking at around +180 odds, which feels too high for the star wideout.

The Chiefs defense has been elite at stopping the run, containing the rush attacks of both the Jaguars and Bengals in the last two games. Both of those teams had been very successful at moving the ball late in the season, I might add.

With that in mind, the Chiefs have been susceptible to big plays in the passing attack. Last week, they surrendered a couple of big plays to both Ja’Marr Chase and Tee Higgins and must now face a similar receiving duo in A.J. Brown and Smith.

With the Chiefs expected to load the box against this potent rushing attack of the Eagles, the value on both Smith and A.J. Brown (roughly +125) is certainly there. With coverage likely to be drawn towards Brown, I like backing Smith in this one.

Some books are currently offering this line for +180, while others are only at +150. Please don’t get ripped off by taking these lower odds for the same bet.