Sharp NFL Picks for Early Sunday Slate: 3 Predictions for Week 2, Including Buccaneers vs. Saints

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Alexander SuttonSeptember 18, 2022 at 04:15 AM

We have three NFL picks for the 1 p.m. ET Sunday slate of Week 2 — I’ll be walking you through my sharp picks and predictions for these NFL matchups below.

Here are the sharp bets locked in from OddsJam — let’s make some money!

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Buccaneers vs. Saints Pick: Saints Moneyline | Shop for the Best Line Below!

We are kicking the morning slate off with an exciting underdog play. While I would typically avoid betting against Tom Brady, this week is not one of those instances.

New Orleans has swept Brady and the Bucs in each of the past two regular seasons. Brady’s bunch did best the Saints in the postseason in 2020 on their way to a title, however. I locked this in at +127 at WynnBet, but be sure to shop for the best line below!

Moneyline

Dennis Allen’s defense has given the Bucs tons of trouble since he took over as the defensive play-caller. Their unit is very talented this season and will have a good chance to repeat their success against Brady.

Last week, the Bucs offense did not look great against the Cowboys. They had to settle for multiple field goals and only managed to put up 19 points against a good — not great — Dallas defense.

One of the key factors in this game is health. The Bucs will be down Pro-Bowlers Donovan Smith and Chris Godwin. As of Thursday, star wideouts Mike Evans and Julio Jones didn’t practice either.

Pass rush is key to the few that manage to beat Brady. Without his blindside protector, coupled with an injury-riddled offensive line, the Saints are likely to generate tons of pressure.

Coupling the injuries to Tampa and the emergence of the Saints skill position players in the fourth quarter last week, New Orleans is the play here.

Patriots vs. Steelers Pick: Steelers Moneyline | Shop for the Best Line Below!

Yes, the loss of T.J. Watt for six weeks is a tough blow for Pittsburgh. Despite his injury, it’s perplexing the Steelers are home underdogs in this game.

Last week, the Terrible Towels went into Cincinnati and took down the defending AFC Champions in overtime. Led by the now-injured Watt, Pittsburgh harassed Joe Burrow all game. This week’s opposing offense is a significant downgrade from the one they had success against in Cincy.

I locked this in at +115 at BetRivers, but be sure to shop for the best line here at OddsJam!

Moneyline

Mac Jones and the Patriots offense looked terrible against the Dolphins last week. Jones is now dealing with back spasms. It’s a relief that his injury wasn’t worse given the number of times he was under pressure. Miami’s defense is on a similar caliber to Pittsburgh’s, therefore I do not expect a ton of points to be scored on New England’s side.

Miami’s skill position group is certainly better than the Steelers, but the likes of Diontae Johnson, Najee Harris and Chase Claypool should be enough to put up points against a Patriots defense that held up their end of the bargain last week.

Getting the Steelers at underdog odds at home is too enticing to pass up. Look for Pittsburgh to take this one, as their bide their time for the return of their All-Pro edge rusher.

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Commanders vs. Lions Pick: Lions Moneyline | Shop for the Best Line Below!

Betting against the Commanders did not go well for me last week after the Jaguars cornerback room gave up back-to-back long touchdown passes to choke the game away.

I locked this pick in at -120 at WynnBet, but be sure to shop for the best line below!

Moneyline

The Detroit Lions are favored for the first time in 24 consecutive games. Last week, Dan Campbell’s crew nearly mounted a comeback against the Philadelphia Eagles after being down 14-31. They pulled within 3 points in a losing effort, but the offensive talent is certainly there in the Motor City.

The Commanders pulled off an uninspiring victory against the Jaguars last week. Carson Wentz nearly gave the game away with 2 interceptions, but he was able to rally late. At this point, the Lions are a better team than the Jags and are playing at home.

As evident in HBO’s “Hard Knocks,” this Detroit team is tough and will be playing hard for Campbell. I have yet to see that level of physicality in Washington.

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